Ontario General Election Prediction thread

[jaichind]

I know very little but I might as well try

PC         40%
NDP       32%
LIB        22%
Green      4%
Other      2%

My view is LIB and PC are under-polled and in the end a lot of NDP leaning LIB voters will still vote LIB.  No idea of seats other than large PC majority.  

[jaichind]

I was quite a bit off on both predictions, but I don't think anyone was expecting such a huge majority for the PCs..

I would make the self-serving argument that I sort of did.  While I do not have the knowledge or expertise to venture a guess on how vote share convert to seats I did roughly get the PC-NCP relative vote share correct and asserted that PC will get a large majority with "large" being very ill defined.

I know very little but I might as well try

PC         40%
NDP       32%
LIB        22%
Green      4%
Other      2%

My view is LIB and PC are under-polled and in the end a lot of NDP leaning LIB voters will still vote LIB.  No idea of seats other than large PC majority.