Monkey Cage: Donald Trump did not win 34% of Latino vote in Texas.

[jaichind]

The argument that the total number of votes Clinton received in heavy Latino districts exceed that of Obama 2012 means that the share of the Latino vote for Clinton in TX must be higher misses several key facts.

1) Total eligible voters in TX increased 8.8% from 2012 to 2016
2) Turnout in 2016 is higher (51.6%) than 2012 (49.2)

It is also possible and in fact likely that the share of the Latino vote in TX was higher in 2016 than in 2012.  So it is totally possible for the Clinton share of the Latino vote in TX decreased from Obama 2012 while the total number of Latino votes increased from 2012 Obama.

[jaichind]

Latino decisions been at it for a while now.  See

http://www.latinodecisions.com/blog/2010/11/15/proving-the-exit-polls-wrong-harry-reid-did-win-over-90-of-the-latino-vote/

Where they argued that exit polls showing Sharron Angle in 2010 NV Senate race won around 30% of the Latino vote are wrong that that her share of the Latino vote was in the single digits.

Not saying they are wrong but clearly this is an organization with an agenda of increasing the relative power of Latino interests within the Dem party arguing that the Latino share of the Dem vote is higher than what exit polls imply and with it the relative clout of Latino pressure groups in Dem power structure should increase as well.

If they are right then of course then GOP share of white vote is even larger than the exit poll suggest.