Bloomberg: Trump +2 (4 way) tied (2 way)

[jaichind]

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-09-26/national-poll

[jaichind]

Same poll has Congressional Generic vote as Dem +2 and Obama Approval at 49/48

[jaichind]

Dems, you should have gone with Biden. But no, it was all "DON'T YOU DARE RUN, HILLARY OR BUST!!", and now we are all paying the price. I hope you're ready for President Trump.

Legendary undefeated politician Barack Obama will be entering the fray on Clinton's behalf in October.

Did not Obama lose the 2000 Democratic primary race for IL CD1 ?  So he is not undefeated.

[jaichind]

If Selzer is right about the composition of electorate, Trump will win this thing. This +2 nationaly is in line with their +5 in OH.

They seem to have it White 71 AA 11 Hispanic 10 Asian 2 vs 2012 of White 72 AA 13 Hispanic 10 Asian 3.  On the surface if we accept lower relative AA turnout from 2012 and a relative surge in White and Hispanic turnout then these numbers would make sense once we factor in demographic changes since 2012.