McClatchy/Marist C+7 (user search)
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Author Topic: McClatchy/Marist C+7  (Read 2595 times)
jaichind
Atlas Star
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Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« on: September 23, 2016, 06:37:07 AM »
Quote from: Cruzcrew on September 23, 2016, 06:07:33 AM
The white share of the electorate probably isn't declining by 5% in one election. 70% seems more realistic.

Agreed.  I think it might be as high as 72% just like 2012 given likely lower AA turnout and higher low educated White turnout.   To be fair this poll has 10% as "Other" under Race.  Not sure what that is about.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2016, 06:37:30 AM »
« Edited: September 23, 2016, 06:39:49 AM by jaichind »
The same poll has Clinton +14 back in early Aug.  In 538 that +14 was adjusted to Clinton +8.  So I guess 538 will adjust this to Clinton +1 or something like that.  We will see.
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