Axiom Strategies Swing Counties September 2016 (user search)
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  Axiom Strategies Swing Counties September 2016 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Axiom Strategies Swing Counties September 2016  (Read 1677 times)
jaichind
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Posts: 27,684
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Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« on: September 15, 2016, 12:27:14 PM »
Hillsborough County has a relatively high population percentage as Latino (25% and only 1/5 of them are Cubans).  For Trump to be ahead when Obama won by 6.7% in 2012 in a county with this sort of demographic seems to indicate that either Trump is doing better among Latinos in FL or there was a polarization of the White vote toward Trump or both.   
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,684
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2016, 12:57:35 PM »

Well, Luzerne and Northampton of PA according to this poll will experience pro-GOP swings of 20% and 13% respectively from 2012.  I think this sort of swing might be a reaction to the electoral domination of Philadelphia in previous elections.  I think in PA counties like Bucks, Montgomery, and Delaware will be decisive on if these sort of swings and bring PA closer to Trump.
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