Philippine General (Presidential, Congress and Local) Elections - May 9, 2016

[jaichind]

(Bloomberg) --
The following is a table of results for the Philippine presidential vote. The figures are collated from the Commission on Elections and published by the Parish Pastoral Council for Responsible Voting, a civil society partner of the commission.

As of 8:05 p.m. local time, 55.67 percent of the 92,509 polling stations had been counted. There were 54.4 million registered voters in the election.

CANDIDATE   NUMBER OF VOTES   % OF TOTAL VOTES COUNTED
Rodrigo Duterte     9,557,966          38.99
Grace Poe                   5,436,256         22.18
Mar Roxas                 5,272,295         21.51
Jejomar Binay           3,231,635         13.18
Miriam Defensor-Santiago   1,002,199   4.09

[jaichind]

*MARCOS LEADS AT 37%, ROBREDO AT 33.5%; PRECINCTS COUNT AT 63%

[jaichind]

(Bloomberg) --
The following is a table of results for the Philippine presidential vote. The figures are collated from the Commission on Elections and published by the Parish Pastoral Council for Responsible Voting, a civil society partner of the commission.

As of 8:25 p.m. local time, 63 percent of the 92,509 polling stations had been counted. There were 54.4 million registered voters in the election.

PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

CANDIDATE   NUMBER OF VOTES   % OF TOTAL VOTES COUNTED
Rodrigo Duterte               10,764,828                    38.92
Grace Poe                          6,121,889                    22.14
Mar Roxas                         5,985,958                    21.64
Jejomar Binay                   3,645,389                    13.18
Miriam Defensor-Santiago  1,123,671                      4.06

[jaichind]

Looks like the Trump of the Philippines Duterte wins...

[jaichind]

What a comeback from the Marcos clan if Ferdinand "Bongbong" keeps it up.  TV5-SWS exit poll has Marcos up 34.9 vs 32.5 Robredo.  So far he is beating the exit polls.

[jaichind]

Turnout Rises to Record 81.6% which is higher than  77% in 2013 and 74.8% in 2010.

[jaichind]

67.25% precincts in.

Duterte                    38.9%
Poe                          22.1%
Roxas                       21.8%
Binay                       13.2%
Defensor-Santiago      4.0%

[jaichind]

Given the surge in turnout the total number of votes Duterte will get will easily outstrip what Benigno Aquino got back in 2010 and set a new record on largest number of votes in Philippines election history.

[jaichind]

The unofficial tally of partial results showed Duterte with 11.5 million votes and his closest competitor, Sen. Grace Poe, with 6.5 million. In the separate vice presidential race, Sen. Ferdinand Marcos Jr. had 10.6 million votes and Rep. Leni Robredo had 9.7 million.

[jaichind]

With 80% of the precincts in. It is

Duterte                    38.6%
Poe                          22.7%
Roxas                       21.9%
Binay                       13.1%
Defensor-Santiago      3.7%

For Vice-President, Macros's lead has shrunk

Marcos                 35.7%
Robredo               34.4%
Cayetano             14.1%

[jaichind]

Given the surge in turnout the total number of votes Duterte will get will easily outstrip what Benigno Aquino got back in 2010 and set a new record on largest number of votes in Philippines election history.

It was Ferdinand Marcos (Sr.) in 1981 who got the largest number of popular votes. 18 million.

Ah.  I forgot about that one.  It is easy to discount that one

[jaichind]

With 84% of the precincts in. It is

Duterte                    38.6%
Poe                          22.9%
Roxas                       21.8%
Binay                       13.0%
Defensor-Santiago      3.6%

Poe continues to rise relative to everyone else.

For Vice-President, Macros's lead continues to shrink to below 1%

Marcos                 35.3%
Robredo               34.6%
Cayetano             14.2%

[jaichind]

And to think Poe was the front-runner when this whole think began.

[jaichind]

With 84% of the precincts in. It is

Duterte                    38.6%
Poe                          22.9%
Roxas                       21.8%
Binay                       13.0%
Defensor-Santiago      3.6%

Poe continues to rise relative to everyone else.

For Vice-President, Macros's lead continues to shrink to below 1%

Marcos                 35.3%
Robredo               34.6%
Cayetano             14.2%

COMELEC is showing a different picture. Roxas is currently 2nd, Poe is 3rd.

My fault.  Typo by me.  I filliped Poe and Roxas

[jaichind]

Marcos leads by 150,000 votes with around 36 millions votes cast.

Hmmm .. I get my result from http://election2016.ppcrv.org/wall/vicepresident.php which has
86.47% of the precincts and

1   FERDINAND JR. MARCOS    12,593,119   35.08%
2   MARIA LEONOR ROBREDO  12,476,529   34.76%
 
with a gap of only 117K. Your source might be more up-to-date.  If so then Marcos has it in the bag because so far the trend seems to be moving against him. 

[jaichind]

Things now look tricky for Marcos.  With  87.07% of the precincts counted it is

1   FERDINAND JR. MARCOS   12,657,800      35.03%   
2   MARIA LEONOR ROBREDO  12,568,981     34.78%

With a gap of only 89K between them and shrinking.

[jaichind]

 With  88.45% of the precincts counted it is

1   FERDINAND JR. MARCOS   12,798,960      34.9%   
2   MARIA LEONOR ROBREDO 12,777,952      34.84%   

Which means it is now neck-to-neck.  Going by trends it seems Marcos might have lost.  But I guess a lot will depend on which  precincts are outstanding.

[jaichind]

Map of Vice President race so far

[jaichind]

Robredo now leads by 600 votes

Yep .  With 89%

1      MARIA LEONOR ROBREDO  12,860,722     34.86%   
2      FERDINAND JR. MARCOS    12,860,147     34.86%   

Will be a long night/day to get to the final results, especially from where I guess might be remote areas.

[jaichind]

Did crime get a lot worse in the Philippines last few years or did income distribution get a lot worse?  The economic situation seems fairly positive under Aquino.  Why would Duterte surge like this?

[jaichind]

This official picture of Leni Robredo (now the leading candidate for VP)  from her campaign website



Makes it hard for me to believe she is 52 years old.  Either it is an old picture or she aged very well.

[jaichind]

 Robredo now ahead by 9000 votes or so 34.9% to 34.8%

[jaichind]

Maria Leonor Robredo
12,939,773
34.9%

Ferdinand Marcos Jr
12,925,873
34.8%

Gap now around 14K in favor of Robredo

 

[jaichind]

Maria Leonor Robredo
13,050,115
34.9%

Ferdinand Marcos Jr
13,000,419
34.8%

Robredo ahead by 50K or so now.  Still plenty of votes out there

[jaichind]

Looks like the Trump of the Philippines Duterte wins...

Are we going to call every single candidate who makes controversial comments and is an asshole a 'Trump' now? That's really dumb.

Its is really not me.  Multiple media sources like CNN, Foreign Policy Magazine, Daily Beast, NBC etc etc have all referred him to the the Trump of the Philippines