UK Post-Election Analysis

[jaichind]

In a what if, I wonder what would have happen if in the second Salmond versus Darling debate last year had Darling creaming Salmond instead of the other way around.  This is because most likely the polls would not have turned which triggered this gang up by CON LAB and LD on SNP with promises that was viewed as not kept.  If Scotland Independence vote lost by a mile without massive intervention by the Westminster system then most likely SNP would have made gains in 2015 but not massive ones.  This in turn would mean that the English fear of LAB-SNP government would not have given CON edge.  I wonder how would the election turn out in England/Wales in such a case.  I figure in such a scenario LAB would have been the biggest party although not a majority as it would have avoided/minimized losses in both Scotland and England/Wales.

[jaichind]

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-32696505

Farage stays as UKIP leader after resignation rejected

Very hypocritical of him to do this.  I actually like Farage a lot and if I were in the UK I would vote UKIP (although vote CON tactically if it makes a difference.)  But this stunt will cost him a lot of good will and make him out to be yet another politician which he claims he is not.

[jaichind]

Where did the vote from 2010 go?

https://medium.com/@alex_randall/three-questions-about-who-stole-votes-from-who-in-the-2015-election-51714d9ea3a1

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

Has their own version.  This site seems to have a higher LD->UKIP flow than the one you posted.  Also there is the issue of "if 26% of the 2010 LD vote went to the Greens then would not that leave Greens with too many votes in 2015."