How do you have Douglas winning PA? He only took 3.52% in real life. Breckenridge who captured 18.2%, if anyone, had a chance to win this state over Lincoln.
And now for the first of several 1860 scenarios to come, here is where enough Northern votes are switched from Lincoln to Douglas that no electoral majority results, and the election is deadlocked in the House between Lincoln, Douglas, and Breckinridge. Civil war ensues shortly thereafter.
Abraham Lincoln 36.9% 123 EV
Stephen Douglas 32.2% 66 EV
John Breckinridge 18.2% 75 EV
John Bell 12.6% 39 EV
Second 1860 scenario: Douglas wins an electoral majority; no deadlocked House.
Stephen Douglas 36.3% 152 EV
Abraham Lincoln 32.8% 40 EV
John Breckinridge 18.2% 72 EV
John Bell 12.6% 39 EV
