Predict the 2014 Senate result (user search)
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  Predict the 2014 Senate result (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict the 2014 Senate result  (Read 28141 times)
td191
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Posts: 18
« on: January 31, 2013, 09:07:21 PM »

Alaska Mead Treadwell over Mark Begwich

Arkansas Steve Womack over Mark Pryor

Iowa Tom Latham over Democrat

Louisiana Bill Cassidy over Mary Landrieu

Tim Tillis or Renee Elmers over Kay Hagan (Hagan and Obama won the state in 08, since then GOP has take the statehouse, senate and gov, and Obama lost in 12) (furthermore, her approval rating is in the 30s) My money says NC reverts back to its true conservative form (this is the state if Jesse Helms after all)

South Dakota Mike Rounds or Kristi Noem over Tim Johnson or Stephanie Sandlin

Shelley Capito over Democrat

I dont know what will happen, but my money says that Republicans increase their house majority, and def. gain in the senate.

I think Scott Brown could beat just about any Dem except Barney Frank (if he runs, and that is a big if) (he is polling ahead of every Dem, including Gov, Duvall Patrick) but Mass is a very liberal state.

Max Baucus is powerful, but he may or may not run, and he is not safe if he does.

One thing is for sure. All these states (except IA, MA) are solidly republican, Obama wont be popular in these places in 2014, and incombent Dem senators will have the backlash of Obamacare and gun control

Again, I don't know what will happen, but me and fellow Republicans would love nothing more than for Obama to wake up to a Republican congress in 2015, and for his last two years to be a lame duck session.

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td191
Rookie
**
Posts: 18
« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2013, 01:28:15 PM »

Alaska Mead Treadwell over Mark Begwich

Arkansas Steve Womack over Mark Pryor

Iowa Tom Latham over Democrat

Louisiana Bill Cassidy over Mary Landrieu

Tim Tillis or Renee Elmers over Kay Hagan (Hagan and Obama won the state in 08, since then GOP has take the statehouse, senate and gov, and Obama lost in 12) (furthermore, her approval rating is in the 30s) My money says NC reverts back to its true conservative form (this is the state if Jesse Helms after all)

South Dakota Mike Rounds or Kristi Noem over Tim Johnson or Stephanie Sandlin

Shelley Capito over Democrat

I dont know what will happen, but my money says that Republicans increase their house majority, and def. gain in the senate.

I think Scott Brown could beat just about any Dem except Barney Frank (if he runs, and that is a big if) (he is polling ahead of every Dem, including Gov, Duvall Patrick) but Mass is a very liberal state.

Max Baucus is powerful, but he may or may not run, and he is not safe if he does.

One thing is for sure. All these states (except IA, MA) are solidly republican, Obama wont be popular in these places in 2014, and incombent Dem senators will have the backlash of Obamacare and gun control

Again, I don't know what will happen, but me and fellow Republicans would love nothing more than for Obama to wake up to a Republican congress in 2015, and for his last two years to be a lame duck session.



Yet, unlike 2010, Democrats will have Boehner and Cantor to kick around, which will help them a lot.

Pryor is quite popular in Arkansas and Republicans would probably either need him to retire or for him to do something stupid like vote for an assault weapons ban to beat him unless Mike Hukabee runs.

In Massachussetts, Brown is below 50% against opponents who are only known to about 10% of the state. 

Elmers or Tillis would not beat Hagan.  The only way Hagan loses is if she makes a dumb vote or if McCrory runs against her. 

In Iowa, Latham wont even get out of the primary. 

Republicans will have the fact that the races benefit them with all these vulnerable Dem incumbents in red states.

Taxes, gun control and their votes for Obamacare
Lincoln was popular in Arkansas, and still lost despite Bill Clinton stumping for her.

With the senate leadership taking more control of the primaries, the strongest candidates likely to come out on top of primaries.

Hagan is polling in the 30s, and Dems winning here in 2008 was fluke. Since then, the GOP has take the statehouse and the Gov. I have no doubt that Hagan will lose.

Do you really think Obama will popular in any of these places come 2014?
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