Landrieu Exceeded all Expectations, so will Hillary be Competitive? (user search)
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  Landrieu Exceeded all Expectations, so will Hillary be Competitive? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Landrieu Exceeded all Expectations, so will Hillary be Competitive?  (Read 2099 times)
CountryClassSF
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« on: December 07, 2014, 12:47:35 AM »

Landrieu, despite being abandoned and massively outspent, managed to exceed expectations. People were predicting a 30-point Blanching and they were wrong. Does this mean Hillary can be competitive in Louisiana? I definitely think so. Discuss.

The RCP average was no where near that. Do you guys have to spin everything?  Hillary Clinton is not Mary Landrieu. 20-week abortions, gay marriage, Obama's right-hand gal. Check out her approval ratings lately?
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CountryClassSF
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Posts: 1,530


« Reply #1 on: December 07, 2014, 12:57:31 AM »

Landrieu, despite being abandoned and massively outspent, managed to exceed expectations. People were predicting a 30-point Blanching and they were wrong. Does this mean Hillary can be competitive in Louisiana? I definitely think so. Discuss.

The RCP average was no where near that. Do you guys have to spin everything?  Hillary Clinton is not Mary Landrieu. 20-week abortions, gay marriage, Obama's right-hand gal. Check out her approval ratings lately?

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/hillary-clinton-favorable-rating

Yes currently +4 which exceeds the presidents by about 18 points. But don't let facts get in the way of your talking points.

When do you leave again?

The personal attack on me aside, there's no doubt about it. But +4 is nothing to write home about.  It's not going to win her Louisiana, with Democrats en masse embracing the hard-left urban social agenda.

I'm suggesting to you that her approval numbers took a dip this year. "Empathize" with that a little.
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CountryClassSF
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« Reply #2 on: December 07, 2014, 01:02:38 AM »

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Name recognition means quite a bit at this stage of the game.  it's obvious they'll shove Romney down our throats again, so you lot have nothing to worry about.
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CountryClassSF
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« Reply #3 on: December 07, 2014, 01:32:04 AM »
« Edited: December 07, 2014, 01:35:29 AM by CountryClassSF »

It definitely shows that white Democrats aren't completely dead in some parts of the South. I do wonder how Landrieu was able to keep it so (relatively) close, especially in this environment and in a low turnout run-off.

This is the first time you guys  have lost this seat since 1882. Landrieu survived in a red-state midterm in 2002.  It's hilarious how Democrats can never admit getting wiped out. The margin was comparable to the Rasmussen poll released. Those predicting 20-30 points were not basing it on the RCP average, that's for sure.

The only time in recent history I can recall a Democrat doing worse than 40% in Louisiana was Obama in 2008.

Moreover, the combined Republican vote on 11/4 was 55.69%, tonight 55.97%. A mere look at the numbers would indicate no legitimate expectations were exceeded or underestimated here.
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CountryClassSF
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Posts: 1,530


« Reply #4 on: December 07, 2014, 01:41:56 AM »
« Edited: December 07, 2014, 01:44:15 AM by CountryClassSF »

It definitely shows that white Democrats aren't completely dead in some parts of the South. I do wonder how Landrieu was able to keep it so (relatively) close, especially in this environment and in a low turnout run-off.

This is the first time you guys  have lost this seat since 1882. Landrieu survived in a red-state midterm in 2002.  It's hilarious how Democrats can never admit getting wiped out. The margin was comparable to the Rasmussen poll released. Those predicting 20-30 points were not basing it on the RCP average, that's for sure.

The only time in recent history I can recall a Democrat doing worse than 40% in Louisiana was Obama in 2008.

Are you as stupid as you sound?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/la/louisiana_senate_cassidy_vs_landrieu-3670.html

Cassidy 57
Landrieu 36.8

If you can do math, that's a 20.2% margin per RCP. I know you don't know what facts are so maybe you should invest in a dictionary.

That's a 20.2% margin indeed, but it doesn't equal 100%. Those voters had to go somewhere.  But again, Mary Landrieu is not Hillary Clinton. And you know that.

This pollster, once again, BTW gets the most accurate win for this race.
I never even heard of them since the 2014 cycle. They did a very good job.

 Vox Populi (R)   11/16 - 11/17   761 LV   3.6   53   42   Cassidy +11
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