Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.
I bet that guy who won the House seat would still be favored.
Yeah, I wouldn't underestimate Poliquin, if he's appointed. Well have to see how he holds up next year, but Maine in 2014 already had the highest turnout of any state. The bump Democrats get from Presidential turnout likely wouldn't be as pronounced here.
May be. But his rather strong social conservatism isn't a plus (but rather a minus) in Maine. Especially - statewide, with 1st district being much more socially liberal.
LePage is far more conservative than Poliquin and won very re-election very convincingly. I suspect Poliquin will surprise us and hold on.
Again - may be. But 2016 is unlikely to be next 2014.....
Cain is not a long-term solution for ME-2. She'd be the best candidate Democrats have for governor, which makes the DCCC's strategy even more confusing. If she wins, bet on it - she'll lose again in 2018.
