Washington Nationals 82-80 (They have the best talent in the division (Bryce Harper, Stephen Strasburg, Jordan Zimmerman. Max Scherzer and Ryan Zimmerman), but they overpaid for Scherzer, and need to do something about Jayson Werth's bad contract)
Pittsburgh Pirates 80-82 (They've lost too much to be competitive, hopefully it won't be another 20 years before we see them with a winning record again)
Cleveland Indians 75-87 (Terry Francona is a very good manager, he just has nothing to work with (except midges))
Do you know anything about baseball? Honest question - especially considering your third paragraph.