Lepage still might have won because of a 3rd Party Candidate(Elliot Cultler) being in the race and getting 8% of the vote. ME-02 the R's probably would not have not won it without the wave though.
Interesting happenings in Maine. I thought ME-Gov would be a nailbiter, never thought LePage would outperform even 2010 performance. ME-02 was a surprise ,especially considering a 3rd party conservative candidate pulled double digits. Maybe, just maybe, there's a positive trend going on there.
Wouldn't doubt it. While it is trending R, Maine's 2nd is more socially conservative than fiscally conservative, and is generally hostile to New Democrats like Cain. Think of it as one of the few districts where Blue Dogs can survive - generally economically liberal, but pro-union. Her plays of bipartisanship won't fly here, especially with her "compromise" on tax cuts for the rich. However, the issues that she's not willing to compromise on are issues that the more rural parts of her district does not agree with, and Democrats deserved to lose here (and do again if Israel gets the rematch he wants).
Troy Jackson or Jeff McCabe would be favored against Poliquin, but Cain would be an underdog.