3 at best (Neoconfederate melts down in MS, Nunn wins, Landrieu holds on) or 0 at worst. If miracles did happen, it could be 4 (if we got a white to run against Uncle Tom Tim Scott).
The comment is neither racist, nor disrespectful. It's the sad truth. You're deluding yourself if you think Tim Scott wouldn't have a hard time against a white Democrat. Even Nikki Haley (who looks white) had a hard time in 2010. Tim Scott would be in legitimate trouble against a white opponent.
And there's #29 on the ignore list...
Are you seriously arguing against that? How can you possibly believe otherwise? Explain yourself.
Because it's South Carolina.
So how can you explain Haley dramatic underperformance? This isn't some theory I've pulled out of a hat, the Haley thing has been widely discussed. Even the White Democrat-Tim Scott scenario is not of my making.
Gubernatorial elections and Senate elections are two different things, and much more polar (especially nowadays). Sheheen is a ConservaDem from the 5th district, which is more friendly too Democrats at the state level than the federal level. He ran his margins up in areas that are ancestrally Democratic, but that wasn't enough because the SCGOP has a 47-48% floor right now. Everything would have to go just right for Sheheen to win.
Ignoring your obviously racist Uncle Tom comment, making an assumption that Tim Scott would lose because he's black is pretty anti-South, so yeah. I'll leave it at that.
Poll
