NM and Ohio as well as Ia and NH is Hillary country. The GOP winning strategy isn't there in Ohio as we can see Bush needed 20 percent of the Black vote in Ohio. The others can be argued.
No one has a lock on it three years out.
Of course not, but I do think the OC's overarching point that NM/OH/IA/NH will be friendlier to Hillary, whereas she may face more obstacles in CO and VA, is definitely on point. She's very strong with Hispanics and rural, working-class whites, but weak with latte liberal westerners common in Colorado and young suburban white professionals common in Virginia; both groups might go for Christie over her.