Burma General Election - November 8, 2015

[Famous Mortimer]

So the House of Reps has 440 seats. NLD needs 221 for a majority. 110 seats are appointed by the military though. That leaves 330 seats up for grabs. Math is hard but I think that means in order to win a simple majority, NLD has to win a 2/3rds majority of available seats.

[Famous Mortimer]

Right now, NLD has 217 seats out of 440 in the House of Reps, with 49 still to be called.

NLD has 110 out of 224 in the upper house, with 35 still to be called.

So a majority in both houses looking almost certain. Not enough to amend the constitution but certainly because to form a government with Aung Sang Suu Kyi as the unofficial power behind the throne.

[Famous Mortimer]

Just as in 1990, the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy has come in third. The pro-military Shan party, the Shan Nationalities Democratic Party, which came in second in the 2010 election, appears not to have won any seats at all.

[Famous Mortimer]

Can anyone confirm which constituencies didn't hold elections? Was it just the Rohingya regions? The main Rohingya party, the National Democratic Party for Human Rights, which won 4 seats in 1990, didn't win any seats at all.

[Famous Mortimer]

Can anyone confirm which constituencies didn't hold elections? Was it just the Rohingya regions? The main Rohingya party, the National Democratic Party for Human Rights, which won 4 seats in 1990, didn't win any seats at all.

1/4 of the seats are military appointees, if that's what you're talking about.

No. I'm talking about the 7 seats that were supposed to elected but the elections were cancelled due to insurgency.

[Famous Mortimer]

Arakan National Party is a merger of the Arakan League for Democracy, which won 11 seats in 1990 and boycotted 2010, and the Rakhine Nationalities Development Party, which took part in the 2010 election (although it was not particularly pro-military) and won 8 seats. They won more seats together than either had won alone, so merger was a good move for them.

Shan Nationalities Democratic Party was dumb not to try to merge with the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy, although I suspect the SNDP was probably more pro-military than the RNDP.