Nate Silver: Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls

[dudeabides]

John Kerry was at 4% in the polls 27 days before the 2004 Iowa Caucus. Anything can happen between now and Iowa. I think Nate Silver is correct and I thank Torrie for posting this. Marco Rubio is rising in the polls. Someone like Jeb Bush, John Kasich, or even Rand Paul could emerge as the winner in Iowa, New Hampshire, or South Carolina. My personal guess is Marco Rubio will compete in Iowa and New Hampshire and that he has a good chance at winning in South Carolina. Governor Bush has been damaged by Donald Trump and his debate performances, Governor Kasich is investing too much into one state, and Senator Paul is now trying to get his father's supporters after spending two years reaching out to the establishment. But who knows; Governor Bush still has a lot of money and appeal to the political center, Governor Kasich comes across as the everyman, and Senator Paul could tap into the libertarian vote in New Hampshire. It's early still.