LA-Abraham Internal/Remington (R): Tied in H2H, Edwards +12 in 3-Way

[NewYorkExpress]

This one's Lean D for now...but a word caution. If the jungle primary goes to a runoff, Edwards loses against any Republican (especially Abraham)

He needs to win in the first round, or alternatively, coax another Democrat and several more Republicans into the race, so the runoff is JBE vs another Democrat.

[NewYorkExpress]

This one's Lean D for now...but a word caution. If the jungle primary goes to a runoff, Edwards loses against any Republican (especially Abraham)

He needs to win in the first round, or alternatively, coax another Democrat and several more Republicans into the race, so the runoff is JBE vs another Democrat.

I think dems don't have the Georgia effect in ka runoff s. That's why Mary Landrieu didn't get blanched .

Landrieu was a relatively popular incumbent herself, from a famous political family, and I think Abraham is a slightly stronger theoretical candidate than Cassidy was, because Cassidy was a Democrat before 2001, whereas Abraham has never been a registered Republican and both are/were stronger candidates in any election than Kennedy is today, largely because voters now punish party switching.