Senate Ratings

[NewYorkExpress]

Alabama- Safe R- Sessions is beyond safe.

Alaska- Lean R unless Miller is the GOP nominee

Arkansas- Safe R- This seat would be gone even in a good year for Democrats...

Colorado- Tossup Tilt/D- Still think Hickenlooper is more likely to go down

Delaware- Safe D- Coons is safe, in Primary and General

Georgia- Tossup- Only way this doesn't go to the wire (and a runoff) is if Nunn doesn't win the Democratic Primary, or if Derrick Grayson or Art Gardner win the GOP primary... since neither has a particularly remote chance of happening, this a tossup.

Illinois- Likely D- If we get into a situation worse than 2010 (which if the election was held today is entirely possible) This race could be a tossup.

Idaho- Safe R- Risch is safer than safe.

Iowa- Likely D- Only way this moves to Safe D in my book is if Clovis is the GOP nominee.

Kansas- Safe R, even if Milton Wolf beats Roberts... Brownback, on the other hand, looks like he's in real trouble

Kentucky- Lean D if McConnell wins GOP Primary, Likely D if Bevin wins GOP Primary... The lack of a runoff, may save Republicans in Georgia, but KO McConnell.

Louisiana- Lean R- Somehow it gets worse each cycle for Mary Landrieu... She's in better shape than Pryor because Louisiana's been ruby-red for awhile, while Pryor has to adapt (and hasn't done well)

Maine- Likely R- Collins is probably safe, but if the climate improves for Democrats, Bellows could catch fire.

Massachusetts- Safe D, Scott Brown probably should have run here.

Michigan- Tossup Tilt/R- Lynn Land has been in hot water recently, but this race is likely tied to Governor Snyder's future.

Minnesota- Safe D, Al Franken, may even be a dark horse VP contender for Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Mississippi- Lean R, Childers presence will make this competitive whether or not Cochran loses, but for him to win McDaniel will need to, win the primary, and probably be convicted of murder before the election.

Montana- Likely R- I'm in the camp of people that believes Walsh's appointment doesn't help (and he may lose to the primary to Bohlinger or Adams)

Nebraska- Safe R, Although Republicans don't seem interested in this race either.

New Hampshire- Likely D- Scott Brown could make this interesting if he wins a GOP Primary, While Bob Smith winning the Primary would show the total opposite situation.

New Jersey- Safe D- Booker was in more danger against Lonegan than now.

New Mexico- Safe D, The other Udall is Safe.

North Carolina- Lean R, if Tillis wins GOP Primary, Tossup/Tilt R if Brannon or Harris win, Tossup/Tilt D with any other GOP candidate.

Oklahoma "A"- Safe R

Oklahoma "B"- Safe R

Oregon- Likely D, If the Oregon GOP could get stronger candidates, this race could be even more competitive.

Rhode Island- Safe D, Reed is safe

South Carolina "A"- Likely R, Graham losing in a primary will make it interesting, but even that won't be enough.

South Carolina "B"- Safe R

South Dakota- Safe R- This seat was likely gone even if Johnson didn't retire.

Tennessee- Safe R

Texas- With Stockman losing, this race moves to Safe R

Virginia- Likely D- Warner's not going to lose, but Gillispie does pose a tougher threat than he probably expected.

West Virginia- Likely R- There's room for Tennant to pull off an upset, but it will probably require resurrecting the ghost of Robert Byrd.

Wyoming- Safe R