Post Random Maps Here 2.0.

[Blackacre]

Governor Tomás Lopez (D-NM)/Senator Marcus Smith (D-WY): ~317 EVs, ~51%

Vice President Austen Petersen (R-MO)/Governor Simone Johnson (R-FL): ~238 EVs,
 ~49%

The Presidential Election of 2044 was the closest Presidential election since 2016. New Mexico's Tomás Lopez was able to come out on top by turning out the Ascendant Coalition: a combination of recently upwardly mobile regions that had benefitted from the programs of the Brown and Harris Presidencies that Conservative firebrand and Vice President Petersen was seen as wanting to cut. Vice President Petersen, to his credit, won many of the states that put Outgoing President Aaron Seagull (R-NY) over the top, like Minnesota and Illinois, as well as traditionally Republican (at the Presidential level) Oregon and Washington and many traditional swing states like Florida, Tennessee, Pennsylvania and Connecticut.

However, it wasn't quite enough. He couldn't quite crack majority-black Georgia and Mississippi, nor could he make inroads in the Democratic Strongholds of the Southwest and Appalachia, both regions that owed much to the Democratic Party of the last 24 years. The biggest story turned out to be the "New West." President Brown's infrastructure project included a massive investment in high speed rail throughout the nation, (dubbed BrownRoads) and this led to new cities and substantial population growth in the states of Montana, New Mexico, Wyoming, Idaho, and South Dakota. The growth in those states helped pad Seagull's two victories, but now all of those states (except Idaho and South Dakota) have officially gone the way of Colorado. Wyoming in particular broke nearly a century-long GOP streak to vote for the ticket of Lopez and its favorite son Marcus Smith.

The New West didn't get Lopez over the top, per se, but it helped. Without Colorado, Wyoming, and Montana, Lopez would have had to rely on his razor-thin margin in Michigan to win the Presidency.

The two parties broke even in the Senate for the first time since 1998, with Democrats trading losses in Iowa and Tennessee for gains in Oklahoma and Montana. President-elect Lopez enters office with a 60-43 majority in the Senate* (pending the appointment of a replacement for Vice President-elect Smith) and a 30-seat majority in the House of Representatives. This will also be the first time that the leaders of the House, Senate, and White House will all be of Hispanic ethnicity. The Speaker is Sonya García (D-PR) and the Senate Majority Leader is Moises Serrano (D-NC).

This election is also notable for one of its Senate races in particular. Senator-elect Sebastian Miranda (D-DC) is one of very few individuals who will be joining the US Senate at age 30.

*That wouldn't be enough to break a filibuster, but the filibuster was weakened in 2037 with bipartisan approval to actually require effort to maintain.

[Blackacre]

(prequel to 2044 post)



President Kamala Harris (D-CA)/Vice President Adam Edelen (D-KY): ~388 EVs, ~53%

Governor Josh Hawley (R-MO)/Senator Chris Sununu (R-NH): ~167 EVs, ~47%

His last name was Hawley, but he may as well be called Dewey.

The Presidential Election of 2032 was the biggest surprise in sixteen years. President Kamala Harris, widely expected to lose re-election after twelve years of Democratic control over the White House, instead won handily against Missouri Governor Josh Hawley. In the wake of the 2032 recession, President Harris proposed expanding the widely popular high-speed rail program enacted under her predecessor (dubbed BrownRoads in his honor) as well as other government stimuli. Governor Hawley tried to pin the recession on the first female President and proposed fiscal policies right out of the playbook of Paul Ryan and soon to be Former House Speaker Kristi Noem. (R-SD)

The electoral map was a strange combination of old and new. Hawley's appeal to moral conservatism got him farther than it got former Vice President Mike Pence in 2024, but it also cost him some states that would have been very winnable for a different kind of Republican, and indeed (as of 2044) have not voted Democratic since. Almost as if re-awakening an evangelical spirit from a long-dead era, he won Texas, the Twin Carolinas, Wisconsin (the state almost voted for George W. Bush twice, after all), and Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, all Harris 2028 states (and, with the exception of South Carolina, two-time Brown states). However, he lost Pennsylvania, Illinois, New Jersey, Washington, Oregon, Connecticut, and Maine possibly because of his clinging to evangelical appeals. Then-New York Governor Aaron Seagull (R-NY) would take note of this in his 2036 bid for the Presidency.

Neither Hawley nor Senator Sununu are strangers to a high-profile loss. Hawley lost a US Senate race against Claire McCaskill in 2018, while Chris Sununu lost his Governorship in 2020. Both mastered the art of the comeback to win their current offices. It's extraordinary how far both men came, but even so, they couldn't quite make it to the top. Cultural and social conservative appeals no longer meant anything in Appalachia, which voted en mass for its economic best interest. Presidents Brown and Harris treated the region well, after all. Nor did it play well in majority-black Georgia.

Special mention should be given to four states in particular. Mississippi was the closest state in the union and very nearly gave way to Hawley's evangelical siren call. However, the state has gotten less white since the GOP last won the state in 2020, and while the state isn't majority-black yet, black voters and Appalachian whites were able to deliver the state to Harris/Edelen by .3%. New Hampshire was just as close, decided by .4%, but the state's aversion to Hawley's brand of Republicanism was outweighed by the presence of their popular Senator on the ballot. Tennessee was not close, but Harris' margin there matched her nationwide margin almost perfectly. Conservative suburbs were balanced out by a Democratic Appalachian region and Nashville. Finally, Oklahoma is the one and only Harris 2032 state that neither Harris nor President Brown had won before. It had been slower to go the way of West Virginia and Kentucky, but BrownRoads served the state well, and Harris' proposed expansion resonated with it. Campaigning from the state's popular Governor turned Senator Scott Inman (who would lose his Senate seat in 2034 and go on to become President Seagull's Secretary of Transportation in a nod to bipartisanship) didn't hurt.

Democrats took back the House, turning a 20 seat deficit into a 26 seat majority. In the Senate, Democrats picked up seats in Georgia, Minnesota, West Virginia, Mississippi, Tennessee, and Alaska, while losing Montana, for a net gain of 5. That gives them a 64 to 40 majority, regaining the filibuster-proof majority they lost in 2030.

The final thing to mention about this election is its impact on the Supreme Court, which was already 7-2 in favor of the liberals. In the second term she wasn't expected to get, President Harris would replace Justices Kagan and Alito, creating a supreme court that had 8 justices appointed by Democrats and only one, Neil Gorsuch, appointed by a Republican.

edit: changed the identity of Kamala Harris' running mate

[Blackacre]

Governor Aaron Seagull (R-NY)/Senator Austen Petersen (R-MO): ~310 EVs, ~49%

Senator Jason Kander (D-MO)/Governor Malcom Washington (D-GA): ~245 EVs, ~43%

The US Presidential election of 2036 hit so many milestones it's not even funny.

Governor Aaron Seagull was the first Republican to win a plurality of the popular vote in 32 years, and the first to win the White House in 16. He was the first Republican to ever ascend to the Presidency while losing the state of Ohio and while losing Arizona. (I think at this point Alaska and North Dakota are the only states left that no Republican has won without) He broke Minnesota's 50 year Democratic streak, and flipped states like New Jersey, Connecticut, Maine, Oregon, Washington, Virginia, and Illinois that were thought to be permanently gone for the GOP.

He broke the Democratic stranglehold over the federal government by running as a different kind of Republican. He was a northern technocratic moderate, not an evangelical firebrand Tea Partier. Despite Democratic attacks on more conservative statements he made in his youth, the electorate took Seagull at his word. After all, they were itching for a change. Missouri's junior Senator helped convince traditional conservative voters that this GOP wouldn't entirely abandon conservative priorities, which was necessary to keep the entire South from turning on him. Instead, while he did lose Appalachia and the African American-heavy states of Georgia and Mississippi, he carried the rest of the region fairly handily. He even won Virginia!

Missouri's other Senator, Jason Kander, to be fair, was the best hope the Dems had to hold onto the White House for four more years. He was an excellent campaigner, going from losing a Senate race by 3 points to serving as the state's popular Governor for 8 years, winning the same Senate seat he once lost in 2028, and even surviving the 2034 wave even while Senators like Andrew Gillum, (D-FL) Scott Inman (D-OK), and Maggie Hassan (D-NH) did not. With the Governor of Georgia by his side, he was able to turn out black voters and some working class whites to his side, but it wasn't quite enough. He did at least carry his home state by the same 4-point margin that Seagull carried the nation, and even though he lost Virginia, he kept Delaware and Maryland in his column.

On the congressional side, Democrats had a 6 seat House majority going into this race that they promptly lost. The Republicans got themselves a 10 seat majority that will prove challenging to govern with. In the Senate, Democrats thought they didn't have much room left to fail after they lost 9 seats in 2030, but hoo boy were they wrong. Not only did they fail to gain back any of the seats they lost, but they also lost seven more seats: Tennessee, Nevada, Virginia, Maine, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and most crushingly of all, Connecticut. The Senate Majority Leader lost both his majority and his own seat. Senate Minority Leader Tom Cotton (R-AR) will get the job of Majority Leader with a 55-49 majority to work with. Senator Moises Serrano (D-NC) will lead the Democrats in opposition.

Only time will tell how this new President will do. The two Republicans who came before him, Donald Trump and George W. Bush, were both regarded very, very poorly, but he wasn't of their mould. Still, he should enjoy that congressional majority while it lasts; he'll lose both houses in two years.

edit: This also marks the very first time that Vermont and Georgia vote together for a losing candidate.

[Blackacre]

Despite nobody wanting these, here's another one!


President Aaron Seagull (R/NY)/Vice President Austen Petersen (R-MO): ~330 EVs, ~52%
Governor Naomi Brown (D-OH)/Senator Chris Hall (D-IA): ~225 EVs, ~46%

The stars aligned. Dogs and cats lived together. Up was down and down was up. That's how the political world felt when a Republican President not only won re-election, but won the popular vote twice, a feat no member of the GOP had pulled off since Reagan. This was the Presidential Election of 2040.

True, President Seagull did face some setbacks. Though he was able to weaken the Filibuster and pass some substantial legislation in his first two years, major conservative priorities like reversing gains made by unions and privatizing BrownRoads went absolutely nowhere, and contributed to him losing both houses of congress in 2038. How did Seagull go from that loss to winning re-election by 6 points? Triangulation, Bill Clinton style.

Even so, he didn't exactly get a cakewalk. Naomi Brown was a two-term Governor of one of the most Democratic states in the union: Ohio. She and four-term Senator Chris Hall knew they were fighting an uphill battle against a President with good approvals that many liberals were okay with. She knew she didn't have all that strong a chance, but she ran one of the toughest campaigns in recent memory to make Seagull fight for his second term. And in a sense, she got probably the very definition of a Moral Victory. She pushed for popular liberal policies like Universal Basic Income, defense cuts, and expanding immigration, and got Seagull to triangulate on those issues in order to win. While her policy platform didn't get her into the White House, many Democratic candidates on the Congressional level did win on those policies. And finally, her exhaustive campaign set up the infrastructure throughout the nation that New Mexico Governor Tomás Lopez would utilize to win his election four years later.

The electoral map didn't change all that much from four years ago. Without its favorite son on the ticket, Missouri returned to its default status as a Republican state. Aside from that, President Seagull traded Maine and Oklahoma for the more electoral-rich combination of NE-02 and Michigan. Alaska and Hawaii also traded places, Hawaii because of its affection for incumbents and Alaska because of a last-minute push from the Naomi Brown campaign. (this leaves North Dakota as the final state that no Republican has won without) However, Seagull did sweat a bit on election night; Michigan, Indiana, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, and Pennsylvania were all decided by less than 3%. Had all of them gone the other way, Seagull would have lost the electoral college while still probably winning the popular vote, a grave irony for the Republican Party.

At the congressional level, not much changed. The Democrats gained about six seats in the House, increasing their majority to 30 seats. In the Senate, for the first time since 2012, both parties made gains, though some of it was a reversion to the state's new partisan identity. Democrats picked up Colorado, Oklahoma, Wisconsin, and Florida, while losing increasingly Republican Pennsylvania and Oregon. They now have a 57-47 majority in the upper chamber. Just like the 1996 Republicans, the 2040 Dems ran a "check and balance" campaign that helped them hold onto their Senators in states like New York, Illinois, North Carolina, and Missouri. Though ticket splitting did help the GOP as well, in states like Alaska and Arizona, where Seagull lost but incumbent Republican Senators survived.

[Blackacre]

Someone should do a TL about the grand epic of William J. Rutherford, the political god who transcends time and space to influence politics in as many multiverses as he can.

[Blackacre]

Doing another from my strange, strange series. Here's 2052!


Governor Derek Richardson (R-SC)/Governor Timothy Tang (W-WA): ~350 EVs, ~53%
Vice President Marcus Smith (D-WY)/Governor Jessica Jean (D-TN): ~205 EVs, ~47%

Hoo boy, there's a lot to unpack here.

The Presidential election of 2052 saw a Republican return to the White House after eight years in opposition, and represents a nation crying out for change as the Democratic Party was rocked by economic misfortunes, a worsening world stage, and corruption scandals that consumed the Lopez White House. Future historians might take pity on Lopez, as he did advance some amazing policies as President and the economy and world stage were out of his control, but the corruption was entirely on him and his staff (minus one, but we'll get to him later).

This opened an opportunity for Derek Richardson, deputy communications director under President Seagull turned Governor of South Carolina turned President-elect. He campaigned on an uplifting platform of change, clearly drawing inspiration from Barack Obama. With his party still being the technocratic moderate party, he was given the perfect vehicle to run against an administration seemingly brought to its knees by scandal. In August polls, he was up against Vice President Marcus Smith by as much as 15%! To his credit, Smith did have a lot going for him. He was never implicated in the scandals, and ran a solid campaign focused on policy and on reasoned solutions to the nation's struggles abroad. For his efforts, he was given the job of Secretary of State under the Richardson administration.

With that out of the way, let's talk about the states. This six-point win led to some very weird results. (then again, this alignment has no region voting as a monolith, so weird is to be expected) Texas had been a solidly Democratic state, voting for the Ds in every election but one from 2020-2048. But growing and increasingly Republican suburbs have thrown a wrench into that status. With Democratic cities, a Democratic Southwest area, Republican suburbs, and Republican rural areas, Texas has gone from Solid D to toss-up, and Richardson won it by the same 6-point margin he carried the nation with.

California had also shifted to the center. While its Southern region remained solidly Democratic, Northern California started to resemble its brothers to the north, Oregon and Washington. Aiding the Republican shift was BrownRoads, the high-speed rail that connects the nation together. The cities that make up the New West were started by people leaving California and the PNW states, making the remaining electorate on the coast more Republican. All these factors together gave Richardson a 2-point win in a state that, until now, had yet to go Republican this century.

Finally, the New West, or "Mirror Appalachia." Both it and its spiritual sibling in the East benefitted from BrownRoads with new cities, leading to population growth, economic improvement, and the most liberal suburbs in America. When President Lopez won his first election, Montana and Wyoming had shifted fully, but Idaho and South Dakota had yet to get there. Here, Idaho and South Dakota have swung sway from the GOP, "Vermonting," so to speak. Montana was the lone holdout, going for Richardson by a single percentage point.

At the congressional level, the GOP expanded their House majority by 16 seats, and picked up the Senate for the first time since 2036. They gained a net of 6 seats, taking Washington, California, Connecticut, Florida, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Nevada, but losing a seat in Idaho. And because Democrats were so overexposed in the upcoming Class 1, this Senate majority would last more than one election cycle! Senator William Huntsman (R-UT) will lead the GOP Senate Majority, and Senator Moises Serrano (D-NC), who won re-election this year by a single percentage point, will lead the Democratic minority.

This will be Serrano's final term, and when he does leave, (either in 2058 or as part of the cabinet should a Democrat win in 2056) Ethan Jackson (D-NM) will replace him. Jackson is a political legend. He contributed heavily to President Harris' re-election at the age of 22 before managing President Lopez' successful 2044 campaign. After that, he was Chief of Staff for 3 years before leaving to win an open Senate seat in New Mexico in 2048, during which time he has been a natural legislator and expert vote-getter. And while he probably should have been sullied by the Lopez corruption scandals, the most comprehensive accounts of the corruption at the Lopez White House has everything beginning about 4 months after Jackson's departure.

[Blackacre]

(weighing whether to do 2048 or 2056 next from my series. Or whether to do midterms)

[Blackacre]

(weighing whether to do 2048 or 2056 next from my series. Or whether to do midterms)

Either one (or both) sounds really interesting! I almost posted midterms from my series last night but I was too lazy

You're too kind! Alright, here's 2048 next!


President Tomás Lopez (D-NM)/Vice President Marcus Smith (D-WY): ~450 EVs, ~55%
Senator Scott Hatch (R-UT)/House Minority Whip Riley Keaton (R-WV): ~105 EVs, ~44%

To be honest, this one wasn't so exciting.

The Presidential election of 2048 saw a popular incumbent being re-elected. The election was actually unusually straightforward in that regard. President Lopez had a 55% approval rating, and he got 55% of the vote. Why would voters have wanted to change the direction of the ship of state anyway? Lopez had just recently passed Universal Basic Income and strengthened the Universal Health Care program that President Harris enacted way back in 2029. There was no war to argue over, no major scandal, no economic problems. Senator Hatch tried his best, and Rep. Keaton was an amazing choice for a running mate, but everybody sort of knew he didn't have a real shot at becoming President.

The map itself, though aesthetically hideous, serves as a present-day time capsule, containing elements of both the early-century Democratic Coalition and where the party currently is. It had been ages (read: 20 years) since the Dems pulled off a win in Wisconsin, for example, and states like New Jersey, Illinois, Minnesota, and Washington seemed to forget that they were supposed to be Republican strongholds. Older viewers felt a wave of nostalgia when these states came to their old partisan home. But there was room in this landslide for the states that had taken their place, too. Georgia, Texas, and Arizona were long-accustomed to voting Democratic, as unthinkable as that might have seemed in 2000 when President Lopez was born. Mississippi remained inelastic, but it had been majority-black for some time and was voting like it. West Virginia and its Appalachian brothers started voting Democratic in 2024 and haven't looked back since; Lopez carried every single county in the region.

Finally, there was the New West, rocky mountain states that have become more populated and urban thanks to the high-speed rail program known as BrownRoads. Four years ago, some of those states went the way of Colorado and voted for Lopez, but now, every single one of them voted together. Until now, Idaho had the longest streak of voting Republican in the nation, but now that honor belonged to Alabama. North Dakota stood alone; it hadn't seen the changes that its neighbors had.

There was one other modern political fixture present here, though somewhat masked by the eleven point PV win: splits within regions. You can see this in the 2044 election (page 11) as well: in this alignment, almost no region votes like a bloc. New England hasn't voted in unison since 2024. (Connecticut and New Hampshire didn't get the memo that New Jersey and Washington got, I guess) The South is split between Democratic Appalachia, Relic Republican white southerners, the New South states that went for Obama but nowadays act as swing states, and the majority-black Georgia and Mississippi. And so it goes with the rest of the nation. We're not as polarized as we used to be.

At the Congressional level, Democrats made gains in the House, even picking up the seat left vacant by Keaton, giving Dems every congressional district that's mainly in Appalachia for the first time in a long time. In the Senate, Dems got a net gain of +4, picking up seats in Arizona, Wyoming, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Tennessee, Florida, and Maine, but losing seats in Massachusetts, Virginia, and Delaware. They enter 2049 with a 66-38 majority. An open seat in New Mexico was filled by Ethan Jackson, (D) former White House Chief of Staff and political rockstar.

The future looked bright for President Lopez and the Democratic Party. But soon enough, everything would come crashing down...

[Blackacre]

Here's a preview of the 2056 election: the state of the race in early October, before the debates and a possible October Surprise.
(30% is Tilt, 40% is Lean, 50% is Likely, 60% is Safe)



President Derek Richardson (R-SC)/Vice President Timothy Tang (R-WA): ~200 EVs,
 ~48%
Governor Anna Byrd (D-WV)/Rep. Dan Kushner (D-CA): ~190 EVs, ~47%
Tossup: ~165 EVs
278 to win

The pundit consensus: this is going to be a sh**tshow.

President Richardson's approvals are around 45%, disapproval around 40%. He's had some foreign policy victories and a few legislative accomplishments, but the economic situation isn't much better than it was four years ago. The GOP House majority was wiped out in the 2054 midterms, as well as GOP seats in state legislatures the nation over. (though they kept the Senate because that particular Senate class was last up in the 2048 landslide and so lacked enough Democratic pickup opportunities to retake the Senate) Richardson himself carries a lot of personal charisma, so he's not someone you'd want to write off even after a bad midterm.

On the Democratic side, things get really interesting. Former Minnesota Governor Matthew Winchester was the initial heavy favorite. He was a moderate Democratic governor from a Republican state, an elder statesman and an establishment darling who came closer than anyone else to getting the nomination in 2052. No major Democratic figure who might have picked him off seemed interested. Yes, he was a bit squishy, he'd been known to flip-flop on a few issues, and he didn't really excite the base, but the party seemed stuck with him nonetheless.

Then, everything changed when 90-year-old former President Kamala Harris came out of retirement to make a single plea to the one person she thought had a chance: outgoing two-term West Virginia Governor Anna Byrd. Anna Byrd, a liberal firebrand and the most popular Governor West Virginia has ever had. She who had cast her very first vote in 2024 for President Brown, a representative of the wholesale shift of Appalachia to the Democratic Party. She was a longshot, but after some encouragement from Harris and from Senate Minority Whip and Democratic Electoral Wizard Ethan Jackson (D-NM), she eventually jumped in. And she absolutely wrecked Winchester. At the convention, she chose Congressman Dan Kushner* (D-CA), chair of the House Foreign Affairs committee and another Democratic Elder Statesman, to join her ticket.

The general election campaign has been intense and close. Both candidates have had leads, but never more than 3% in the polling averages. While it would seem like Byrd would have the advantage due to liberals outnumbering conservatives by a large margin, Richardson's strong lead among moderates keeps him afloat, and gives him the chance to keep California, Texas, and Virginia in his column while also flipping Tennessee. It also puts some of the New West up for grabs. Meanwhile, Byrd realized something that no other Democrat has: Republican control of the whiter Deep South states has been shaky since Aaron Seagull took over the party. Even though the midterms in the South probably should have made this obvious to everybody, it was Byrd who decided to invest in states like Arkansas and Alabama, and her efforts are bearing fruit in state polling.

On the congressional level, Democrats are likely to hold onto their 25-seat majority, though whether they make gains or suffer losses is anyone's guess.  In the Senate, Republicans have a 55-49 majority to defend. When the current Senate class was last up in the 2050 Republican landslide, this is what the results were: (30% denotes pickup)


R+11

Republicans hope to maintain those gains and pick up further seats, mainly targeting Wyoming and Alaska where they see openings. Democrats are looking to make gains as well, mainly in Southern states that Byrd is leading in, Puerto Rico, and the New West. With as many as twenty Senate races featuring single-digits leads, the outcome is anyone's guess.

*No relation to Jared Kushner

[Blackacre]

(if anyone wants me to elaborate on a particular state and how it changed politically throughout this series, please say something, Id love to go deeper into this!)

[Blackacre]

2016 election without any counties named Washington, Jefferson, Franklin, Jackson, or Lincoln

PA margin is 2,789,510 Democratic votes, 2,789,913 GOP votes - Trump leads by 403. It will have to go through recounts, and the whole election is on the line...

What about Feingold/McGinty/Kander?

[Blackacre]

Atlas Posterboy-530

Trump-8

What, not WV?

MT Treasurer's worst nightmare:

[Blackacre]

269-269 tie. Alternatively,

275-263 Dem win.

[Blackacre]

A map of my most recent 2016 election scenario ("Rutherford Scenario"), with results by county depicted:



Also can be found here: http://fiction.wikia.com/wiki/File:2016_64%25_Democratic_Landslide.png.

Comments are greatly appreciated. I will be posting more maps associated with it in due course.

You have reposted this same map, or what seems like it, over and over and over again for like a year now.

Seriously, find a new scenario.

The first one you did was Rutherford in 2064, now it's Rutherford in 2016. Next step obviously is to put Rutherford in 1908 or 1956 or 1852. Make the man a time traveling political god!

[Blackacre]

A map of my most recent 2016 election scenario ("Rutherford Scenario"), with results by county depicted:



Also can be found here: http://fiction.wikia.com/wiki/File:2016_64%25_Democratic_Landslide.png.

Comments are greatly appreciated. I will be posting more maps associated with it in due course.

You have reposted this same map, or what seems like it, over and over and over again for like a year now.

Seriously, find a new scenario.

The first one you did was Rutherford in 2064, now it's Rutherford in 2016. Next step obviously is to put Rutherford in 1908 or 1956 or 1852. Make the man a time traveling political god!

Actually, this is based off a Campaign Trail game in which Clinton wins a landslide over Trump. I merely tailored it to fit the context of an alternate scenario.

Ooooo whats the earliest the campaign trail goes to? Rutherford 1976!!! or 1960!

[Blackacre]

Is 2008 but the nation swings like Virginia similar to the IL one?

[Blackacre]

hmm, what were the weakest D swings in 1992? It's be worth it to explore some of those, maybe

[Blackacre]

One person lives in each of the 49 non-CA states and there's one person in DC. Everyone else lives in California, who alone decides the President

[Blackacre]

United States Senate Elections, 2006



This is an extension of this thread, which I am plugging because I put a lot of time and effort into it and I wanna show it off! So I'll be posting Senate elections in this world going back to 2006. Here, Democrats pick up 5 seats, moving the 96-member Senate from a 50/46 Republican majority to a 51/45 Democratic one.

[Blackacre]

What are the Senate classes?

Class 1 is the group that gets elected in 2000,2006,2012,2018, and so on.

Class 2 is 2002,2008,2014,2020, and so on.

Class 3 is 2004,2010,2016,2022, and so on.

[Blackacre]

What are the Senate classes?

Class 1 is the group that gets elected in 2000,2006,2012,2018, and so on.

Class 2 is 2002,2008,2014,2020, and so on.

Class 3 is 2004,2010,2016,2022, and so on.

I know that, I meant which states are in which classes?

Oh okay!

In my distribution, as of the 2010 census: Texas, Serrano, (that's SoCal) Florida, New York, Frémont, (that's NorCal) Pennsylvania, Illinois, Ohio, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolna, New Jersey, Virginia, Washington State, Massachusetts, and Indiana all have 1 senator in each of the 3 classes. Aside from that:

Arizona, Connecticut, (which includes Rhode Island now) Hawaii, Idaho, (that's OTL ID+WY+MT) Maine, Maryland, (which includes DC now) Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Nebraska, New Mexico, Puerto Rico, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, and Wisconsin each have a Class 1 Senator.

Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Delaware, Kansas, Kentucky, Idaho, (but only after 2010) Louisiana, New Hampshire, Oklahoma, Oregon, Puerto Rico, South Carolina, Tennessee, and West Virginia each have a Class 2 Senator. Iowa does too until the 2010 census.

Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Connecticut, Dakota, (fusion of ND and SD) Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Carolina, and Wisconsin each have a Class 3 Senator.

[Blackacre]

Who are the current Senators from North Carolina?

In 2018? Richard Burr, Thom Tilis, and Dan Forest. Forest would be a major target for Ds in 2018.

[Blackacre]

United States Senate Elections, 2008



This is another shameless plug for this thread, and the work I put into it. Here, Democrats pick up 10 seats, giving them 63 total; one shy of 2/3s and capable of breaking a filibuster with plenty of room to spare. Notably, while the caucus is bigger than OTL, it lacks several conservative Dems: Lieberman, Pryor, Tester, Baucus, and Tim Johnson are all absent. So Obama’s first 2 years are going to be much more active than OTL. The only catch is that the 63 number includes both Franken and Specter.