The Contender

[Blackacre]

Why is Warren conceding? Booker has more delegates than she needs to win; he's basically kingmaker now. It's not over till it's over

[Blackacre]

Some notes:

Franken hasn't won any Trump states yet, but he is winning old HRC states much sooner than she did. Maine, New Hampshire, and Minnesota were all very late HRC calls, but were pretty early Franken ones. (ofc MN is pretty obvious)

I'm also surprised at the early calls in GA and SC. (SC was instant) Those two states were called much later in 2016 than they are here.

Combine those two things, though, and you probably just get a wash explained away by increases in vote count speed.

[Blackacre]

Some observations and questions.

First, Franken's PV lead will probably grow in the coming months. He'll probably end up with roughly a 3% lead in the PV, considering this seems to be a 1% almost universal shift from 2016.

Holy Iowa Swinging Batman.

This would be the first time Ohio is wrong since 1960 and the first time Florida got it wrong since 1992. With that, there remains not a single state that has voted with the winner of every Presidential election since before the 21st century, or even a single state that has voted with the winner every time IN the 21st century. Michigan and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin last got it wrong in 2004. Iowa last got it wrong in 2000 and currently holds the longest getting-it-right streak in the country. Virginia, Colorado, and Nevada broke their streaks in 2016. New Mexico is special, however, because it has voted with the winner of the popular vote in every election since 1976.

The question is, what do the 2018 and 2020 Senate races look like? What kind of Congress is Franken working with?

[Blackacre]

Wow, 9 states within 2 points!

[Blackacre]

Hope Trump is classy in RL if he loses. A classy concession speech from President Trump. Disappointed that Franken will have to face Congressional gridlock in his first term.

Did NHI ever say that Rs had the house? Ds have the Senate after all