Which state has the best chance of being insta-called. (user search)
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  Which state has the best chance of being insta-called. (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Choose 1
#1
Virginia
 
#2
Nevada
 
#3
Florida
 
#4
Georgia
 
#5
Arizona
 
#6
Utah
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 91

Author Topic: Which state has the best chance of being insta-called.  (Read 1509 times)
Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

« on: October 25, 2016, 10:44:11 AM »

There is no way Virginia will be called right at closing, because of Fairfax and NoVa. I said Nevada because of demographics, the Reid machine, and her being up in the polls
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Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2016, 10:52:00 AM »

There is no way Virginia will be called right at closing, because of Fairfax and NoVa. I said Nevada because of demographics, the Reid machine, and her being up in the polls

The networks won't need NoVa results to call it.  Key precincts elsewhere and exit polls will be enough.  When it's clear that Trump is underperforming significantly in places he needs to do well, that will be enough to call the state.

If Clinton wins Virginia by double digits (a possibility) it will be very easy to call.

But those calls would rely on turnout in NoVa being at expected levels, right?

If you're right, my one concrete election prediction goes down the tubes. It was: Virginia doesnt get called until late, early returns show Trump ahead, liberals freak out, but only because everyone forgets NoVa until its returns come in
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