Is the rust belt/midwest a pipe dream for republicans? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 08:30:55 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  Is the rust belt/midwest a pipe dream for republicans? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Is the rust belt/midwest a pipe dream for republicans?  (Read 849 times)
Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

« on: October 12, 2016, 08:40:38 PM »

Assuming somewhat similar platforms and voting patterns, the GOP seem about to lose states like Virginia, Nevada and Colorado for good, while states like North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and a bit longer term even South Carolina and Texas are in play for democrats.

Supposedly this loss could be somewhat offset by republicans running the table in the midwest/rustbelt states outside of Illinois. Iowa is trending hard right this cycle, for instance. But could the GOP really win all of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota in a tight election? Or are we just seeing Donald Trump currently maxing out the "stupid white people" vote? Will it be possible for future GOP candidates to appeal to business republicans and the Alex Jones segment at the same time?

Could we have a swing state map that looks like this in 2028:



The map here is 238 Dem/151 Rep. Texas takes the Dems over the finish line; this isnt the best math.

Maybe same thing but NC becomes swing instead of Dem?
Logged
Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2016, 11:20:58 AM »

Minnesota may be hard with this strategy b/c it has one of the higher education rates.

I can imagine a scenario where Wisconsin is heavily Republican, Michigan is a Republican-leaning swing state, and Minnesota a true swing or Dem-leaning swing state
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 10 queries.