Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5])

[Philly D.]

Former Bloc president Catherine Fournier is likely the next MNA for Marie-Victorin. Although the best known candidate, it took three rounds of voting to nominate her.

Meanwhile in Verdun, it looks like the PLQ may continue swinging from big business types to NDPers back and forth, as former Mercier MNA Natalie Rochefort is seeking the nomination. Her focus on community action wasn't a priority with Jean Charest, and doesn't seem better under Philippe Couillard:\ No guarantees though -- party executive Jerome Turcotte is also seeking the nomination.

I think there's a small chance the PLQ can take Arthabaska: Sylvie Roy had a large personal vote and they won the riding in 2003 and 2007. While the ADQ came close in 2003 with Tory MP Alain Rayes, they've done relatively better in 2012 and 2014 in the more conservative areas around Quebec City.