Election 2018 Open Thread v2 - Mia, Mimi, Gil, and T.J.

[DINGO Joe]

Sad.

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1062874259956133888

Well, who could expect the RNC to know anything about elections?

[DINGO Joe]

Re: CA-21  Kings seems to be just about done counting votes and Valodao has a 2200 vote lead.  If the counties in the district each make up the same % of the vote they did in 2016, then you would expect Kern to still have about 7500 votes to add and Fresno 3500. 

[DINGO Joe]

More details...

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1064677779315273728

The Kings number is quite old (Nov 14th) and Kings has had several small updates since.  Should be under 500 votes left in Kings to count.

[DINGO Joe]

If there’s a silver lining for CA Republicans, there isn’t much more room for them to fall after they’ve been reduced to absolute rubble in the state.

That has been said before, and then CA Republicans fell even further.

Actually felt kind of bad watching Trump wander thru one of the few R places left in California, calling the town "Pleasure" and rambling about raking the forest, but then I remembered, they voted for him.

[DINGO Joe]

https://twitter.com/ACampaNajjar/status/1066146260061548544

any shot for him?

No.

why?

I'm not sure how many of those 72K ballots are actually in CA-50, but either way, he's not winning them by enough. He might get the margin close to 2%, but that's about as good as I think it can get for him.

Maybe between the two counties there are 18000 votes still to be counted.  to make up a 9000 vote deficit he'd have to win 75% of the vote.  That's pretty unlikely.

[DINGO Joe]

Kim was hyped because Republicans (and some others) thought that her being Asian-American would allow her to automatically over perform with the demographic by enough to win big. Oddly enough Republicans rail against identity politics yet were relying on it to retain CA-39 for them.

Even better is the State Senate seat overlapping this district that a female minority R lost to....a white man!?!?

[DINGO Joe]

This is one of those stats like box office records being broken because the price of movie tickets continually increases.

Which doesn't tarnish the fact that Ralph Breaks the Internet is the greatest movie of all time.