Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)  (Read 69431 times)
DINGO Joe
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« on: June 07, 2016, 12:08:46 PM »


Benchmark is reporting low turnout in Berkeley, but schools out so that's not surprising.

Conspiracy to suppress student vote
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2016, 10:33:25 PM »

Here's the official estimate of ballots still to be counted (all parties)

http://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/statewide-elections/2016-primary/unprocessed-ballots-report.pdf

The SoS is dependent on individual counties to provide updates to both vote totals and remaining ballots to be processed.  As noted above, individual counties don't regard providing immediate updates to the SoS as particularly vital.

Just taking an educated guess, I'd expect about 1.5 million +/- 200,000 to be counted after election night in the Dem primary.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2016, 10:43:50 AM »

Wish every county web site was as clean and informative as the San Francisco one

http://www.sfelections.org/results/20160607/#english_summary

Gives who the nonpartisan voters took ballots for.  Gives totals for write-ins and Undervotes by party. 

Undervotes and write-ins were quite high for all 3rd parties, but people taking AIP ballots are clearly in a world all their own.  More than half of the votes were write-ins and on top of that 1/3 didn't even vote for any candidate on the Presidential level.  Things were quite similar in Sacramento county.

The Undervote was quite high in the Republican primary in SF too (8%) and in Sacramento it was more than 5% (vs 2% in the Dem primary).  Maybe other major counties provide this info in final reports, but none of the major SoCal counties have it with their current reporting.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2016, 09:16:29 AM »

Don't know how whether it's relevant to the state as a whole or just specific to  San Francisco, but their beginning post-election count of ballots left listed 24,000 provisionals and as of the most recent update it's down to 18,000 (without any provisionals counted thus far).
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DINGO Joe
dingojoe
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« Reply #4 on: June 15, 2016, 09:46:40 AM »

So are the two questions remaining:

1) Will it be single digits or double digits?
2) Will she do better or worse than in 2008?

I think when it's all done, the vote totals and percentages will be striking close to 2008, even though individual counties  had major shifts.  So, single digits, the same

I guess the one caveat would be LA county, because it's so huge and has provided so little thus far.
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