In a campaign where Obama loses Ohio to McCain, can he hope for VA, CO, NV, MO?

[TomC]

I agree about Mo. There are clear indications that Va, Co, and Nev are trending Dem. The midwest on the other hand seems to be trending to the GOP. With changes in Va, esp Northern, including recent wins by Webb and Kaine, it is reasonable to expect there might be changes that work in Obama's favor.

I think the same is true for Nev and Colo. Some here seem to claim Obama has a problem with Hispanics, and for the primary, he does, I'd say due to name recognition more than outright racism, but whatever. He can certainly compete in the West.

The economy is an issue in Ohio to be sure, but I's argue that demographic changes in Ohio and Mo. are less stark than in Va, Colo, and Nev, meaning the former are more likely to be predictable based on past data.