Gun to your head- who wins MD governor race?

[Bidenworth2020]

I'd say democrat ultra narrowly

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Hogan, narrowly.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Democrat by about 10%.

[BuckeyeNut]

Not Hogan, not narrowly.

[junior chįmp]

Hogan's a goner

[Doimper]

Democrat.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Hogan, it will be closer though.

[smoltchanov]

Hogan, narrowly. He is noncontroversial enough and Democrats will heal wounds after bitter primary for a long time.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Democrats. Black voters ARE NOT staying home and giving a Republican a second term while Dump sits in the White House.

[KingSweden]

Rushern Baker, specifically

[PragmaticPopulist]

I doubt Hogan can win at this point. He's alienated Trump voters by distancing himself from Trump, and there aren't that many swing voters in MD. Add to it a super-charged Dem base, and it's looking bleak for Hogan.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

Krish Vignarajah

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Democrats

[History505]

I'm from Maryland. First, what is up with these gun to my head questions? Anyway, the Dems are really in the early stages of campaigning and the primary isn't until June. So this question can't really be confidently answered until next Summer and early Fall. Hogan still has good approvals, but that could definetly change over the course of 2018. I'm waiting to see who the Dem nominee is, and if they are better than Brown. Majority of Maryland voters ain't paying attention yet, so I would say 50/50.

[heatcharger]

Baker 51%
Hogan 48%

[Bidenworth2020]

I'm from Maryland. First, what is up with these gun to my head questions? Anyway, the Dems are really in the early stages of campaigning and the primary isn't until June. So this question can't really be confidently answered until next Summer and early Fall. Hogan still has good approvals, but that could definetly change over the course of 2018. I'm waiting to see who the Dem nominee is, and if they are better than Brown. Majority of Maryland voters ain't paying attention yet, so I would say 50/50.

It just means no tossup statements

[Timothy87]

It really could go either way. I believe Hogan can be re-elected but it wont be by a large margin. probably a 3 point race. I think he'll be able to do a much better job at keeping the DC suburban voters than Ed Gillespie did.  The point about his alienating Trump lovers is overblown, and Hogan is very well liked all around the Baltimore suburbs, western and eastern MD.  Also, MD republicans always run circles around Dems in midterm turnout.

The overwhelmingly Democratic nature of the state certainly gives any Democratic nominee a good chance, but its a very winnable race for Hogan.  I'm gonna say slight edge to Hogan.

[Rjjr77]

gun to my head i'd take the popular incumbent in every race

[Del Tachi]

Hogan

[MAINEiac4434]

Maya Rockeymoore Cummings.

[History505]

gun to my head i'd take the popular incumbent in every race

Better be careful there with that strategy...

[RINO Tom]

I'll say Hogan goes down by 1-2% ... Maryland isn't exactly the place to thrive as a blue state Republican the way a state like Vermont or Massachusetts could be.

[TheLeftwardTide]

Rushern Baker, by around a point less than the 2006 O'Malley margin. Exact same county map, though.

I really wish it were Jealous, though. There's a good chance it could be, but Baker is more likely.

[Kingpoleon]

A Democrat. Let’s say Alec Ross for the sake of argument.

[_]

Hogan by like 1.5