Talk Elections

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Survey USA on 2008-10-06 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=4220081005019)

Summary: D: 55%, R: 40%, I: 2%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b99d60cb-3369-47bd-887f-85bae65d2a31)

Damn son. 

Holy cow, he's winning white voters.

lol at only 9% independent

Obama will win Pennsylvania by 8 or 9 in the end methinks. 

Shocking to me really, because I thought PA was going to go Obama by the slimmest of margins early on. 

So with these PA polls and McCain pulling out of Michigan, what is his strategy?  Bank on every Bush state minus Iowa and NM sticking with the GOP? 

lol Junk poll.

SurveyUSA has been insane lately.

Now Hillary would have been leading in PA by 15 points per Rasmussen at this time!

And McCain is still up in MN, guys.  ;)

I've been wondering about this myself. It's like McCain's strategy is to back himself into a corner. Well, no complaints from me.

Republican 39% (38%): McCain 75% (78%); Obama 21% (17%)

Democrat 50% (51%): McCain 16% (19%); Obama 80% (76%)

Independent 9% (10%): McCain 29% (39%); Obama 62% (47%)

Conservative 29% (27%): McCain 79% (81%); Obama 19% (15%)

Moderate 36% (38%): McCain 34% (36%); Obama 60% (58%)

Liberal 15% (15%): McCain 10% (11%); Obama 86% (86%)

(denotes SUSA, Sep. 23-24, 2008)

McCain loses 21% of Republicans? Yeah right. Plus exit polls had the state as D+2, this D+11 party ID doesn't pass the smell test.

Have I to let you in on a secret? It's 2008 now

I'd like to think McCain was haemorrhaging support among Independents. He deserves it for having capitulated to the reactionary wing of his party by passing over Tom Ridge for Saintly Sarah

Dave

Thanks, Talking Points.

I wouldn't be so sure about it:

In 2004, Democrats had a 7% registration advantage and the exit polls showed a 2% advantage for them.

In 2006, Democrats also had a 7% registration advantage in PA, and exit polls showed them with a 5% lead.

In 2008, the registraion advantage grew to 14% ...

So, if the additional 7% are added to the 2006 numbers, what is the result ?

And how many of them are fake registrations by ACORN in inner city Philadelphia? In many Philly neighborhoods there are more registered voters than acutal people living there, just to let you in on a little secret.

lol proof?

That's no talking point, it's a fact ;)


That's no talking point. It's Dave Hawk's opinion

Dude, it's true. We have a reputation for that type of nonsense.

So many idiots, so little time...

It won't be too long before I'm able to get out of hack mode, especially if Obama wins. If staid ol' decrepit (and that's just his ideas) John 'More of the Failed Same' McVain wins, well ... I'm not making any promises ;D

Dave

Out of hack mode, Dave?  I didn't know that was possible.

Democratic Hawk's real name is Dave?  WTF?!  First I've heard about it.

Sam, you know fine well I'm closer to the Republicans than I am the Democrats on certain issues. Can't be that much of a hack ;)

Dave

I am ideologically the same as you, for the most part, yet I am not a hack, and support many Rethuglicans.

I'm not adverse to Republicans, providing they aren't too ideological or, at the very least, competent

Dave

Obama will probably win by 10 points or so in the end. The state will trend Republican, but still be more Democratic than the national average.

On Hardball yesterday I saw where the Washington Post reported Democrats increased their numbers by 474,000 in PA while Republicans actually decreased by something like 30,000

The latter is because lots of people who used to live in those neighborhoods, moved out, and weren't purged. They don't come back to vote. It has nothing to do with ACORN conspiracies.

I've actually not heard of that. I know people sometimes make fraud allegations about New Mexico, Wisconsin, etc, but this is the first time I've actually heard about it in Philly specifically. I was critical with Rowan because it sounded like something he was just pulling out his arse.