Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2008, 12:34:59 AM



Title: MO: Survey USA: McCain barely ahead of Obama
Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2008, 12:34:59 AM
New Poll: Missouri President by Survey USA on 2008-09-24 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=2920080924019)

Summary: D: 46%, R: 48%, I: 4%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=cb847615-d010-4578-9882-31f2ea071666)



Title: Re: MO: Survey USA: McCain barely ahead of Obama
Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2008, 12:41:34 AM
Obama probably needs to win at least 44% of Whites here, 95% of African-Americans and 70% of Latinos/Asians to win the state.

Whites (86%): Obama 44%
African-Americans (10%): Obama 95%
Others (4%): Obama 70%

And Obama wins MO with 50.1% ...


Title: Re: MO: Survey USA: McCain barely ahead of Obama
Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on September 26, 2008, 12:55:11 AM
It's not this close.  McCain's got it.


Title: Re: MO: Survey USA: McCain barely ahead of Obama
Post by: memphis on September 26, 2008, 01:01:32 AM
Obama won't win here unless he breaks 300 EV. Fairly unlikely as things stand right now. He'd have to replicate McCaskill's success in not getting demolished in rural areas, while winning St. Louis County decisively.


Title: Re: MO: Survey USA: McCain barely ahead of Obama
Post by: Lunar on September 26, 2008, 01:01:57 AM
SUSA's QUALITY AS A POLLSTER IN LUNAR'S BRAIN

()


Title: Re: MO: Survey USA: McCain barely ahead of Obama
Post by: big bad fab on September 26, 2008, 03:19:26 AM
Anyway, we absolutely need to have more Missouri polls.... and Indiana, and NC, and WV, and even..... Arizona polls.

McCain may be really savaged, come November, so some more polls in this next "ring" of states would be needed to be a bit less worried....


Title: Re: MO: Survey USA: McCain barely ahead of Obama
Post by: Eraserhead on September 26, 2008, 07:21:33 AM
If Obama is leading by about 2-3% nationally, MO should be pretty close.


Title: Re: MO: Survey USA: McCain barely ahead of Obama
Post by: Brittain33 on September 26, 2008, 08:07:36 AM
SUSA's QUALITY AS A POLLSTER IN LUNAR'S BRAIN

()

Yup. I'm taking no particular pleasure in this poll.


Title: Re: MO: Survey USA: McCain barely ahead of Obama
Post by: Democratic Hawk on September 26, 2008, 06:34:42 PM
Republican 32% (36%): McCain 89% (87%); Obama 8% (10%)

Democrat 38% (38%): McCain 14% (12%); Obama 82% (83%)

Independent 23% (20%): McCain 48% (55%); Obama 41% (34%)

Conservative 32% (37%): McCain 85% (86%); Obama 11% (10%)

Moderate 36% (35%): McCain 36% (32%); Obama 58% (61%)

Liberal 14% (12%): McCain 11% (11%); Obama 85% (85%)

(denotes SUSA, Jul. 29-31, 2008)