Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on September 23, 2008, 09:57:25 PM



Title: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on September 23, 2008, 09:57:25 PM
New Poll: Washington President by Survey USA on 2008-09-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=5320080922019)

Summary: D: 54%, R: 43%, I: 2%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=620a4810-d372-4254-b503-a28f3d60ff6a)

McCain (R) 43%

Obama (D) 54%

Other 2%

Undecided 2%


Title: Re: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: Eraserhead on September 23, 2008, 10:06:36 PM
Good.


Title: Re: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: Meeker on September 23, 2008, 10:11:38 PM
I must admit that I was worried for a little bit.


Title: Re: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on September 23, 2008, 10:29:00 PM
Not to be all negative on the poll, but this is kinda a big jump from the other polls.


Title: Re: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: Lief 🗽 on September 23, 2008, 10:32:44 PM
SUSA is schizo.


Title: Re: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: Ronnie on September 23, 2008, 10:35:46 PM
This won't help Rossi, that's for sure.


Title: Re: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: CultureKing on September 23, 2008, 11:03:46 PM
Good, this is about where I thought Washington would be. Washington won't be a swing state this year.


Title: Re: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자) on September 23, 2008, 11:31:22 PM
Not enough for me to move Washington out of the D Lean column, as I'm not yet convinced Obama has a 10% or more lead here.


Title: Re: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: Tender Branson on September 23, 2008, 11:40:34 PM
I think it'll be Obama by about 10 in the end. MN should be somewhere between 5-10% for Obama.


Title: Re: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: Rowan on September 24, 2008, 05:39:17 AM
MN should be somewhere between 5-10% for Obama.

LOL

No.


Title: Re: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: Alcon on September 24, 2008, 07:50:13 AM
I may be the first to say this number looks totally reasonable to me.


I don't understand why we're laughing at essentially reasonable predictions.  I have MN as Obama +6 at the moment, and I think there's a reasonable argument that Obama is more favored by demographics.  Unless polite disagreement is funny or something.


Title: Re: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: Democratic Hawk on September 25, 2008, 10:36:13 AM
Republican 27% (29%): McCain 91% (90%); Obama 8% (7%)

Democrat 38% (37%): McCain 8% (10%); Obama 91% (87%)

Independent 26% (28%): McCain 44% (42%); Obama 51% (45%)

Conservative 28% (26%): McCain 80% (89%); Obama 18% (8%)

Moderate 36% (41%): McCain 39% (38%); Obama 59% (53%)

Liberal 21% (22%): McCain 6% (9%); Obama 93% (89%)

Top issue - the economy 51% (46%): Obama 57% (52%); McCain 40% (42%)

(denotes SUSA, Sep. 5-7, 2008)


Title: Re: WA: Survey USA: Obama Leaps to an 11% Lead in WA
Post by: CultureKing on September 25, 2008, 01:50:22 PM
hopefully Obama can help us get those super-majorities in the state house and senate. Then it wouldn't really matter much if Rossi somehow sleazes his way in.