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Title: IA: Survey USA: Obama ahead of McCain by 4% Post by: Josh/Devilman88 on June 19, 2008, 07:48:31 PM New Poll: Iowa President by Survey USA on 2008-06-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=1920080616019)
Summary: D: 49%, R: 45%, U: 6% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=851c4ef8-c6f2-499a-8d2f-bafdb824728b) Title: Re: IA: Survey USA: Obama ahead of McCain by 4% Post by: Lief 🗽 on June 19, 2008, 08:04:49 PM And Obama continues to lead in every poll taken in Iowa this election season.
Title: Re: IA: Survey USA: Obama ahead of McCain by 4% Post by: True Democrat on June 19, 2008, 08:05:33 PM Because clearly McCain leads among blacks 55-45 (while losing Hispanics and whites. . .)
Fukcing subsamples. Title: Re: IA: Survey USA: Obama ahead of McCain by 4% Post by: True Democrat on June 19, 2008, 08:07:15 PM It also seems that McCain is doing unusually well in SE Iowa, though I have to wonder what is designated as SE Iowa.
Title: Re: IA: Survey USA: Obama ahead of McCain by 4% Post by: Eraserhead on June 19, 2008, 08:45:18 PM A decent result for McCain. I still think his chances of actually winning it are... slim.
Title: Re: IA: Survey USA: Obama ahead of McCain by 4% Post by: Flying Dog on June 19, 2008, 08:46:22 PM Any chance the flooding had any effect on the outcome of this poll?
Title: Re: IA: Survey USA: Obama ahead of McCain by 4% Post by: Alcon on June 19, 2008, 09:20:08 PM Weird party ID numbers. Very weird. Adjusted to SurveyUSA's party identification numbers from last month, this poll is Obama +16. I have trouble believing that Democrats have a one-point registration advantage, which would be only a three-point swing from 2004. Fishy.
Title: Re: IA: Survey USA: Obama ahead of McCain by 4% Post by: Verily on June 19, 2008, 09:30:00 PM Any chance the flooding had any effect on the outcome of this poll? I'm not certain what partisan impact it would have had (although Cedar Rapids, at least, is solidly Democratic), but I certainly wouldn't have conducted a poll in Iowa right now were I a pollster. Title: Re: IA: Survey USA: Obama ahead of McCain by 4% Post by: Aizen on June 19, 2008, 09:35:42 PM Deplorable. Conducting an interview in the midst of severe flooding. SurveyUSA should be ashamed.
Title: Re: IA: Survey USA: Obama ahead of McCain by 4% Post by: Verily on June 20, 2008, 10:04:18 AM Deplorable. Conducting an interview in the midst of severe flooding. SurveyUSA should be ashamed. In the sense that results are very likely to be wrong because a large percentage of the population is displaced, not any moral responsibility. |