Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Alcon on June 01, 2008, 12:22:23 PM



Title: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 9% in Nebraska
Post by: Alcon on June 01, 2008, 12:22:23 PM
New Poll: Nebraska President by Survey USA on 2008-05-29 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=3120080518019)

Summary: D: 40%, R: 49%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ce13d065-9b3a-44bc-9576-24abb567a4f4)

NE-1: McCain +1
NE-2: McCain +5
NE-3: McCain +24


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 12% in Nebraska
Post by: Lief 🗽 on June 01, 2008, 12:40:06 PM
Quote
NE-1: Tie
;D


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 12% in Nebraska
Post by: Tender Branson on June 01, 2008, 12:41:04 PM
Strange, this summary table shows McCain ahead by 9.

Nonetheless a good showing by Obama.

()


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 12% in Nebraska
Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on June 01, 2008, 12:43:50 PM
This seems off.


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 12% in Nebraska
Post by: Ronnie on June 01, 2008, 12:46:04 PM
Gah, CD1 may be in trouble for us.

McCain will probably pull it off, though.


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 12% in Nebraska
Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on June 01, 2008, 12:50:29 PM
I thought NE-02 was supposed to be the competitive district.


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 12% in Nebraska
Post by: Tender Branson on June 01, 2008, 03:05:04 PM
Sry to say it Alcon, but you posted the wrong numbers ... :P

SurveyUSA just updated their page with a new set of numbers:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ce13d065-9b3a-44bc-9576-24abb567a4f4


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 9% in Nebraska
Post by: Alcon on June 01, 2008, 03:11:31 PM
Sry to say it Alcon, but you posted the wrong numbers ... :P

SurveyUSA just updated their page with a new set of numbers:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ce13d065-9b3a-44bc-9576-24abb567a4f4

They really changed the NE-2 numbers, and gave the state black people.  Updated :P


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 9% in Nebraska
Post by: ChrisFromNJ on June 01, 2008, 03:16:43 PM
I think it's safe to say that Obama has a definite strength in the Midwest (other than, oddly, Ohio).


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 9% in Nebraska
Post by: Lief 🗽 on June 01, 2008, 03:17:16 PM
Wow... that's quite an update. :P

Awesome that it looks like both NE-1 and NE-2 are possibly within reach.


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 9% in Nebraska
Post by: Aizen on June 01, 2008, 05:51:32 PM
If we pour money into Nebraska we should be able to nab two electoral votes.


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 9% in Nebraska
Post by: Eraserhead on June 01, 2008, 06:14:05 PM
lol. We are going to get to see Obama campaign in Nebraska.


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 9% in Nebraska
Post by: Alcon on June 01, 2008, 06:40:20 PM
Wow guys, optimism :P


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 9% in Nebraska
Post by: Flying Dog on June 01, 2008, 06:52:36 PM

Well, NE-1 is at least plausible.


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 9% in Nebraska
Post by: Verily on June 01, 2008, 07:10:37 PM
44-38-18 is an interesting partisan breakdown. (Although it is worth noting that self-identification may be higher than actual numbers for Democrats and lower than actual numbers for Republicans simply due to a changing electorate--see Rasmussen's tracking of this.)


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 9% in Nebraska
Post by: emailking on June 02, 2008, 12:00:56 AM
About two weeks ago, Chuck Todd (MSNBC) said that the Obama people think they can win NE-2 and plan to try for it. I think these numbers would only encourage them. I wonder if the NE-1 and NE-2 numbers are transposed though. But either way at least one seems to be within reach.


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 9% in Nebraska
Post by: Sbane on June 02, 2008, 01:41:09 AM
So perhaps CD-2 isnt as strong for Obama as you would think because of Omaha suburbs? Sometimes rural areas swing more than suburban areas do.


Title: Re: NE: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 9% in Nebraska
Post by: Adlai Stevenson on June 05, 2008, 11:36:49 AM
Perhaps Obama will do a little better than Kerry did here, but Nebraska remains a strongly Republican state.  My prediction:

NEBRASKA PRESIDENT -
62% (R) McCain
36% (D) Obama