Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Josh/Devilman88 on May 20, 2008, 05:10:28 PM



Title: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Josh/Devilman88 on May 20, 2008, 05:10:28 PM
New Poll: North Carolina President by Survey USA on 2008-05-19 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3720080519019)

Summary: D: 49%, R: 43%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=89a1b144-de19-4715-bb6f-97b2e817a23b)



Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: War on Want on May 20, 2008, 05:45:50 PM
Definatley an outlier.


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Lief 🗽 on May 20, 2008, 05:48:26 PM
what.


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Ronnie on May 20, 2008, 05:50:25 PM
It looks like there will be much more Democratic defectors under Obama than Clinton.


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Josh/Devilman88 on May 20, 2008, 05:50:41 PM

The Obama one looks right, but the clinton one doesn't...


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: exopolitician on May 20, 2008, 05:52:06 PM
tehe.


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Eraserhead on May 20, 2008, 05:58:26 PM
What the hell? lol.


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Fmr. Pres. Duke on May 20, 2008, 06:40:37 PM
Wow, and I thought Obama was stronger in NC than Hillary. I guess a lot of her supporters in the state have no problems voting for McCain over Obama. I've talked to a few who either wouldn't vote or vote for McCain.


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: War on Want on May 20, 2008, 06:41:34 PM
Wow, and I thought Obama was stronger in NC than Hillary. I guess a lot of her supporters in the state have no problems voting for McCain over Obama. I've talked to a few who either wouldn't vote or vote for McCain.
Do you know what the word outlier means?


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Democratic Hawk on May 20, 2008, 06:57:32 PM
It is really starting to infuriate me the extent to which Obama supporters would support Clinton as the Democratic nominee; yet hers wouldn't support him in equal measure. I see this as tantamount to securing Clinton the nomination by 'blackmail'

Dave


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Aizen on May 20, 2008, 07:09:33 PM
Did the Clinton campaign pay Survey USA to post fraudulent results?


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on May 20, 2008, 07:10:55 PM
"when polls blow up"


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Beet on May 20, 2008, 07:10:56 PM
It is really starting to infuriate me the extent to which Obama supporters would support Clinton as the Democratic nominee; yet hers wouldn't support him in equal measure. I see this as tantamount to securing Clinton the nomination by 'blackmail'

Dave

Obama supporters are teh black. Teh black always votes Dem. White women on the other hand, are a swing demographic. They always vote the winner. They are like white Catholics, independents, Hispanics, seniors... oh wait, we had this discussion back in February didn't we?


Also definitely true, for this poll. :)


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Democratic Hawk on May 20, 2008, 07:42:53 PM
It is really starting to infuriate me the extent to which Obama supporters would support Clinton as the Democratic nominee; yet hers wouldn't support him in equal measure. I see this as tantamount to securing Clinton the nomination by 'blackmail'

Dave

Obama supporters are teh black. Teh black always votes Dem. White women on the other hand, are a swing demographic. They always vote the winner. They are like white Catholics, independents, Hispanics, seniors... oh wait, we had this discussion back in February didn't we?

Obama would be the winner of Clinton-inclined demographics supported him to the extent to which his would support her

Dave


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Hash on May 20, 2008, 08:01:55 PM
uh what


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: emailking on May 20, 2008, 09:25:18 PM
Wow, and I thought Obama was stronger in NC than Hillary. I guess a lot of her supporters in the state have no problems voting for McCain over Obama. I've talked to a few who either wouldn't vote or vote for McCain.
Do you know what the word outlier means?

Don't throw stuff like this around. There is a strict definition for this. There aren't enough polls of NC to determine whether it's a statistical outlier or not. The term only gains meaning if you have a statistically relevant number of data points, of which this is just one.


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: ottermax on May 21, 2008, 12:09:29 AM
I scratch and tilt my head.


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Sam Spade on May 21, 2008, 12:20:42 AM
Wow, and I thought Obama was stronger in NC than Hillary. I guess a lot of her supporters in the state have no problems voting for McCain over Obama. I've talked to a few who either wouldn't vote or vote for McCain.
Do you know what the word outlier means?

Don't throw stuff like this around. There is a strict definition for this. There aren't enough polls of NC to determine whether it's a statistical outlier or not. The term only gains meaning if you have a statistically relevant number of data points, of which this is just one.

clap,clap,clap


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Iosif is a COTHO on May 21, 2008, 12:41:43 AM
Wow, and I thought Obama was stronger in NC than Hillary. I guess a lot of her supporters in the state have no problems voting for McCain over Obama. I've talked to a few who either wouldn't vote or vote for McCain.
Do you know what the word outlier means?

He does. For him, it means, 'polls which show Obama ahead of McCain.'


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Fmr. Pres. Duke on May 21, 2008, 12:45:38 AM
Wow, and I thought Obama was stronger in NC than Hillary. I guess a lot of her supporters in the state have no problems voting for McCain over Obama. I've talked to a few who either wouldn't vote or vote for McCain.
Do you know what the word outlier means?

He does. For him, it means, 'polls which show Obama ahead of McCain.'

LOL

Of course. Honestly, this sh*t isn't even funny anymore.


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Meeker on May 21, 2008, 12:55:28 AM
1 in 20, 1 in 20


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon on May 21, 2008, 02:17:24 AM
I see this as tantamount to securing Clinton the nomination by 'blackmail'

Didn't you mean "securing the nomination by black male" :P

Why do you think a working white woman would cast her ballot for a random state legislator from Chicago whose primary accomplishments are "being a community organizer" and defeating perhaps their only chance to see a woman President in their lifetimes?


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Gustaf on May 21, 2008, 04:14:24 AM
It is really starting to infuriate me the extent to which Obama supporters would support Clinton as the Democratic nominee; yet hers wouldn't support him in equal measure. I see this as tantamount to securing Clinton the nomination by 'blackmail'

Dave

Of course. It's a given that if I support one candidate in a primary I must support all other candidates in that primary for the general election. Or, at least, if 80% of my preferred candidate's opponent's supporters I must support that opponent for the general election with 80% of myself.

Or, Dave, do you think all the millions of Clinton voters in America should get together and decide which of them are allowed to not vote Obama in the general, so they can match the percentage of Obama supporters saying they would vote Clinton in the general? Or do you admit that you are letting your absurd infatuation with Obama make you degenerate into talking complete nonsense?


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Democratic Hawk on May 21, 2008, 10:13:25 PM

Of course. It's a given that if I support one candidate in a primary I must support all other candidates in that primary for the general election. Or, at least, if 80% of my preferred candidate's opponent's supporters I must support that opponent for the general election with 80% of myself.

Or, Dave, do you think all the millions of Clinton voters in America should get together and decide which of them are allowed to not vote Obama in the general, so they can match the percentage of Obama supporters saying they would vote Clinton in the general?

My point is that neither Clinton nor Obama supporters - given where the two candidates stand on the issues - should be any more or any less likely to defect to McCain

That's all. Just the thought of either Democrat losing to McCain out of spite or worse (i.e. sexism in relation to Clinton or racism in relation to Obama) on the part of the other's supporters saddens me and polling suggests that, right now, Clinton supporters are more likely to undermine Obama than his would Clinton

Quote
Or do you admit that you are letting your absurd infatuation with Obama make you degenerate into talking complete nonsense?

I'd have a hard job doing that considering I'm not infatuated with Obama at all, let alone absurdly

You just get back to supporting McCain. I'll be supporting the nominee of the party with whom I identify

Dave


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Democratic Hawk on May 21, 2008, 10:21:03 PM
I see this as tantamount to securing Clinton the nomination by 'blackmail'

Didn't you mean "securing the nomination by black male" :P

Why do you think a working white woman would cast her ballot for a random state legislator from Chicago whose primary accomplishments are "being a community organizer" and defeating perhaps their only chance to see a woman President in their lifetimes?


You expect Republicans to unify behind McCain; I'd like to see Democrats unify behind Obama or Clinton. It matters not in the least to me whether Clinton is a woman or Obama is a black man

Dave


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Sbane on May 21, 2008, 10:21:43 PM
All im going to say is Clinton supporters are sore losers. I would have no problem voting for Clinton if she won the nomination. Even though I PREFERRED Obama, I realize that the most important thing is to take back the white house from the republicans. Or else we will have 4 more years of Bushenomics and WAR WAR WAR. Sadly many Clinton supporters do not understand this.


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Gustaf on May 22, 2008, 07:49:15 AM

Of course. It's a given that if I support one candidate in a primary I must support all other candidates in that primary for the general election. Or, at least, if 80% of my preferred candidate's opponent's supporters I must support that opponent for the general election with 80% of myself.

Or, Dave, do you think all the millions of Clinton voters in America should get together and decide which of them are allowed to not vote Obama in the general, so they can match the percentage of Obama supporters saying they would vote Clinton in the general?

My point is that neither Clinton nor Obama supporters - given where the two candidates stand on the issues - should be any more or any less likely to defect to McCain

That's all. Just the thought of either Democrat losing to McCain out of spite or worse (i.e. sexism in relation to Clinton or racism in relation to Obama) on the part of the other's supporters saddens me and polling suggests that, right now, Clinton supporters are more likely to undermine Obama than his would Clinton

Quote
Or do you admit that you are letting your absurd infatuation with Obama make you degenerate into talking complete nonsense?

I'd have a hard job doing that considering I'm not infatuated with Obama at all, let alone absurdly

You just get back to supporting McCain. I'll be supporting the nominee of the party with whom I identify

Dave

I understand that you view it as a merit to blindly support the same party every election, irrespective of candidates, but I don't, so I'm not really uncomfortable with supporting McCain.

Don't you think it is a tad presposterous of you to decide for others which way they should vote and for what reasons? You've been head-over-heels in love with Obama rather than Clinton, despite there being no difference between them. Others may, for similar reasons, have different sets of preferences, such as wanting Clinton over McCain and then McCain over Obama.


Title: Re: NC: Survey USA: Clinton ahead of McCain by 6%, but Obama is down by 8
Post by: Democratic Hawk on May 22, 2008, 03:56:44 PM

You've been head-over-heels in love with Obama rather than Clinton, despite there being no difference between them

Yes, I support Obama enthusiastically. That does not mean to say that I wouldn't support Clinton should she be the Democrat nominee; and yes, I am at significant variance with the Democrats on certain issues but not enough to support McCain. I'm not a conservative

Dave