Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on April 12, 2008, 11:09:19 AM



Title: AZ: Other Source: McCain leads both Democrats by 20+
Post by: Tender Branson on April 12, 2008, 11:09:19 AM
New Poll: Arizona President by Other Source on 2008-08-04 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=420080408106)

Summary: D: 34%, R: 56%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www4.nau.edu/srl/docs/Press%20Release%20--%20McCain%20leads%20in%20Arizona.pdf)


McCain: 55%
Obama: 33%


The Grand Canyon State Poll was conducted by the Social Research Laboratory at Northern Arizona University. Calling took place from March 30 through April 8, 2008.

369 randomly-selected, likely voters in Arizona participated in the study. Study data is accurate within a +/- 5.1 percent margin of error, at a 95 percent confidence level.


Title: Re: AZ: Other Source: McCain leads both Democrats by 20+
Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on April 12, 2008, 02:20:53 PM
I think the Democratic numbers will perk up, but McCain will still get between 55-60%


Title: Re: AZ: Other Source: McCain leads both Democrats by 20+
Post by: War on Want on April 12, 2008, 02:49:36 PM
Trash poll.


Title: Re: AZ: Other Source: McCain leads both Democrats by 20+
Post by: ?????????? on April 12, 2008, 02:56:42 PM

Sorry. He's going to sweep his home state quite handily.


Title: Re: AZ: Other Source: McCain leads both Democrats by 20+
Post by: exopolitician on April 12, 2008, 03:04:22 PM

I actually agree with you...*shivers*

anyways, I think this poll is pretty accurate.


Title: Re: AZ: Other Source: McCain leads both Democrats by 20+
Post by: War on Want on April 12, 2008, 03:13:04 PM
Sure but not this good. I would guess around 58-42, just because how popular Obama is out West.


Title: Re: AZ: Other Source: McCain leads both Democrats by 20+
Post by: Adlai Stevenson on April 12, 2008, 03:53:26 PM
My prediction:

ARIZONA PRESIDENT -
56% (R) McCain
42% (D) Obama


Obama's ceiling is probably coming within 10% of McCain in Arizona, who's popularity has declined in his homestate. 


Title: Re: AZ: Other Source: McCain leads both Democrats by 20+
Post by: Alcon on April 12, 2008, 05:12:51 PM
I'm probably confusing NAU and ASU, but either way, likely a terrible pollster.


Title: Re: AZ: Other Source: McCain leads both Democrats by 20+
Post by: Eraserhead on April 12, 2008, 11:46:18 PM

Of course, but that doesn't mean the poll is any good.


Title: Re: AZ: Other Source: McCain leads both Democrats by 20+
Post by: Gustaf on April 13, 2008, 05:04:15 PM
Horrible poll but the results look reasonable. I think McCain will perform worse than expected in Arizona though.