Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Presidential Election Trends => Topic started by: DownWithTheLeft on September 23, 2006, 09:17:55 AM



Title: 2050
Post by: DownWithTheLeft on September 23, 2006, 09:17:55 AM
Took some time and used 2000 numbers plus growth rates to figure out an approximate of electoral votes in 2050, here it is:

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Title: Re: 2050
Post by: DownWithTheLeft on September 23, 2006, 09:19:09 AM
R90= -5+
R50= -3 or 4
R30= -1 or 2
GRY= +0
B30= +1 or 2
B50= +3 or 4
B90= +5 or more


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: bgwah on September 23, 2006, 03:22:33 PM
Interesting, but of course states will not grow at the same rates for 60 years (stating the obvious).

I've always thought that it was interesting that only Washington and Oregon (and sort of California) are the only fast-growing states that have been mostly Democratic during their growth.


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: DownWithTheLeft on September 23, 2006, 04:24:17 PM
Interesting, but of course states will not grow at the same rates for 60 years (stating the obvious).

I've always thought that it was interesting that only Washington and Oregon (and sort of California) are the only fast-growing states that have been mostly Democratic during their growth.

Yes, but the 5 fastest growing all went for Bush in 04' (although NV should soon change)


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: Josh/Devilman88 on September 26, 2006, 10:03:18 AM
Interesting, but of course states will not grow at the same rates for 60 years (stating the obvious).

I've always thought that it was interesting that only Washington and Oregon (and sort of California) are the only fast-growing states that have been mostly Democratic during their growth.

Yes, but the 5 fastest growing all went for Bush in 04' (although NV should soon change)

The 5 fastest growing states are also becoming more democratic too.


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: ATFFL on September 26, 2006, 12:23:57 PM
Interesting, but of course states will not grow at the same rates for 60 years (stating the obvious).

I've always thought that it was interesting that only Washington and Oregon (and sort of California) are the only fast-growing states that have been mostly Democratic during their growth.



Yes, but the 5 fastest growing all went for Bush in 04' (although NV should soon change)

The 5 fastest growing states are also becoming more democratic too.
What?

The top 5 in 2005 were (in order)
1. Nevada
2. Arizona
3. Idaho
4. Florida
5. Utah


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2006, 01:48:43 PM
I think that also Virginia will gain at least one seat in the coming 50 years.


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: Colin on September 26, 2006, 07:03:10 PM
Interesting, but of course states will not grow at the same rates for 60 years (stating the obvious).

I've always thought that it was interesting that only Washington and Oregon (and sort of California) are the only fast-growing states that have been mostly Democratic during their growth.



Yes, but the 5 fastest growing all went for Bush in 04' (although NV should soon change)

The 5 fastest growing states are also becoming more democratic too.
What?

The top 5 in 2005 were (in order)
1. Nevada
2. Arizona
3. Idaho
4. Florida
5. Utah

Well I don't know about you Tredrick but I'm certain that Idaho and Utah are thrusting leftward as we speak.


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: TomC on September 28, 2006, 10:23:31 PM
Interesting, but of course states will not grow at the same rates for 60 years (stating the obvious).

I've always thought that it was interesting that only Washington and Oregon (and sort of California) are the only fast-growing states that have been mostly Democratic during their growth.



Yes, but the 5 fastest growing all went for Bush in 04' (although NV should soon change)

The 5 fastest growing states are also becoming more democratic too.
What?

The top 5 in 2005 were (in order)
1. Nevada
2. Arizona
3. Idaho
4. Florida
5. Utah

Well I don't know about you Tredrick but I'm certain that Idaho and Utah are thrusting leftward as we speak.

Idaho and Utah have nowhere to go but left. Not that they'll go Democratic-, maybe from wingnut right to patrician right, but really, nowhere to go but left.


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: Platypus on September 29, 2006, 09:02:46 AM
your colours are wrong for Nebraska, Alabama and Maine.


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: DownWithTheLeft on October 01, 2006, 05:07:56 PM
your colours are wrong for Nebraska, Alabama and Maine.

I described my problem w/NE and ME, idk about AL, I think I messed up the map and the number should be like 7 or 8


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: Colin on December 19, 2006, 06:28:53 PM

The patrician right? I didn't know the Republican Party included Roman noblemen.


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: KEmperor on December 19, 2006, 06:33:14 PM

The patrician right? I didn't know the Republican Party included Roman noblemen.

You mean you aren't one of us?

SPQR 4 life!


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: nini2287 on December 21, 2006, 05:29:55 PM
Let's up PA doesn't lose any more or else PA-13 won't exist!


Title: Re: 2050
Post by: TeePee4Prez on December 22, 2006, 02:08:32 AM
Let's up PA doesn't lose any more or else PA-13 won't exist!

I think the Southeast and Poconos will grow and we might actually see another CD in our area.  The rest of the state, you will see some very large CD's in area.  PA is taking a lot of NJ, NY, and even some MD/DC transplants so we won't be so bad.