Title: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico Post by: Xing on November 16, 2019, 12:54:27 PM ()
() Biden Sanders Warren Vote here in the previous polls if you haven't already! February IA (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=336827.0) NH (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=336951.0) NV (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=337056.0) SC (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=337162.0) Super Tuesday AL (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=337282.0) AS (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=337367.0) AR (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=337455.0) CA (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=337554.0) CO (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=337683.0) DA (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=335175.0) ME (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=338238.0) MA (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=338331.0) MN (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=338440.0) NC (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=338633.0) OK (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=338742.0) TN (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=338817.0) TX (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=338919.0) UT (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=339006.0) VT (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=339119.0) VA (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=339253.0) March 10th ID (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=339335.0) MI (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=339410.0) MS (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=339523.0) MO (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=339636.0) ND (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=339750.0) WA (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=339868.0) Later March NMI (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=339956.0) AZ (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340084.0) FL (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340165.0) IL (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340315.0) OH (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340467.0) GA (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340625.0) PR (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340754.0) April AK (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340887.0) HI (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=341796.0) LA (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=341918.0) WY (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=342058.0) WI (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=342186.0) CT (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=342288.0) DE (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=342400.0) MD (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=342519.0) NY (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=342601.0) PA (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=342749.0) RI (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=342904.0) May GU (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=344598.0) KS (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=344675.0) IN (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=344812.0) NE (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=344942.0) WV (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=345005.0) KY (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=345105.0) OR (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=345222.0) June DC (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=345358.0) MT (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=345747.0) NJ (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=345953.0) Arizona, Illinois, Indiana, and Michigan are all very close. If the primary is still going on, I think New Mexico will be very interesting. Despite Clinton's strength with Latinos in 2008 and 2016, she just barely won it both times, perhaps due to decent performances by Obama and Sanders in Santa Fe and Albuquerque. I think that Warren would have a better chance of winning here than in Arizona, and I suppose I'd give her a narrow edge, especially since Biden doesn't seem to have the same strength among Latinos as Clinton did. Hard to predict with confidence, though. Title: Re: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 16, 2019, 01:25:30 PM Warren
Title: Re: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico Post by: ElectionsGuy on November 16, 2019, 06:24:38 PM Warren. Sanders is a good candidate for this state though.
Title: Re: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico Post by: Progressive Pessimist on November 16, 2019, 08:09:46 PM While I wouldn't count Warren out here, I still see Biden pulling off a victory similar to Clinton's in 2016.
Title: Re: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico Post by: Frodo on November 16, 2019, 08:48:42 PM It's hard for me to see Elizabeth Warren losing in New Mexico when she has already won California and Arizona, which clearly indicates to me that she has gained strength among Latinos to Joe Biden's detriment.
Title: Re: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico Post by: 538Electoral on November 16, 2019, 11:13:05 PM Biden.
Title: Re: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 16, 2019, 11:15:01 PM Buttigieg will win NM and the nomination, all the states at the end surrounds IN; Buttigieg will easily win California too, if he wins IA, NV, CO
Title: Re: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico Post by: McGarnagle on November 17, 2019, 01:29:46 AM I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say Bernie
By the way, OP, gneiss username breaux! Title: Re: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico Post by: Progressive Pessimist on November 17, 2019, 08:40:04 PM It's hard for me to see Elizabeth Warren losing in New Mexico when she has already won California and Arizona, which clearly indicates to me that she has gained strength among Latinos to Joe Biden's detriment. I could see her winning California, but everyone who voted for her to the point of winning the Arizona poll must have been on peyote when they voted. Title: Re: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico Post by: Mr. Smith on November 18, 2019, 06:50:54 PM Warren.
Title: Re: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico Post by: Xing on November 25, 2019, 11:32:40 AM Break the tie!
Title: Re: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico Post by: SnowLabrador on November 25, 2019, 12:11:04 PM Most likely Biden, given that the minority voters support him despite his being a vicious racist.
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