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Title: NC-Sen Cunningham leads 42% to 41% over Tillis Post by: Zaybay on September 16, 2019, 05:31:27 PM Part of the series of polls done by AARP
https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-NC.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.005.pdf Title: Re: NC-Sen Cunningham leads 42% to 41% over Tillis Post by: ElectionsGuy on September 16, 2019, 05:46:11 PM North Carolina is a state where pollsters tend to slightly overestimate Democrats as there is still some old Dixiecrat vote in some areas of the state, but it seems apparent that Tillis's approval isn't impressive and he'll be tied down to whatever Trump gets or even worse. But all these polls are kinda junky anyway.
Title: Re: NC-Sen Cunningham leads 42% to 41% over Tillis Post by: TrendsareUsuallyReal on September 16, 2019, 05:50:12 PM Not good to trail a guy with 9% name recognition, with the caveat that this is a sketchy pollster
Title: Re: NC-Sen Cunningham leads 42% to 41% over Tillis Post by: Xing on September 16, 2019, 06:58:51 PM Not totally unbelievable, though not the best pollster.
Title: Re: NC-Sen Cunningham leads 42% to 41% over Tillis Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 16, 2019, 07:00:42 PM Down with Tillis
Title: Re: NC-Sen Cunningham leads 42% to 41% over Tillis Post by: Skill and Chance on September 16, 2019, 08:14:41 PM North Carolina is a state where pollsters tend to slightly overestimate Democrats as there is still some old Dixiecrat vote in some areas of the state, but it seems apparent that Tillis's approval isn't impressive and he'll be tied down to whatever Trump gets or even worse. But all these polls are kinda junky anyway. True, but it's becoming pretty clear between Tillis' primary troubles and Collins holding onto >50% double digit margins that the Dem senate path is CO+AZ+NC+ win the GA open seat outright in November (if winning the presidential race) or get close enough to force runoffs in both GA seats and win them in January on differential base turnout (after a Trump reelection). This assumes AL is gone. |