Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2020 Senate & House Election Polls => Topic started by: Politician on August 20, 2019, 07:21:47 AM



Title: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Politician on August 20, 2019, 07:21:47 AM
53 Hickenlooper
40 Gardner

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/colorado-2020-sanders-biden-and-warren-lead-democratic-field-democrats-look-to-gain-senate-seat


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: ElectionsGuy on August 20, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
Meanwhile, Hickenlooper is "considering" a run.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: S019 on August 20, 2019, 09:16:00 AM
Not shocked

Lol Gardner


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: DaWN on August 20, 2019, 09:40:56 AM
Clearly a Hyper Competitive Tossup Race!

- Every pundit


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: TrendsareUsuallyReal on August 20, 2019, 09:51:53 AM
Honestly don't know why Gardner wouldn't just retire at this point. Why wage a losing battle and waste months of your time, health and energy on it


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: MT Treasurer on August 20, 2019, 09:52:54 AM
()


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Storr on August 20, 2019, 10:19:00 AM
Congratulations Senator Hickenlooper!


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Xing on August 20, 2019, 12:05:51 PM
Memerson, but yeah, barring a Republican tsunami, Gardner is toast.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on August 20, 2019, 12:20:32 PM
Hick! Hick! Hick!


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Person Man on August 20, 2019, 02:05:13 PM
Memerson, but yeah, barring a Republican tsunami, Gardner is toast.

I like toast.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: President Johnson on August 20, 2019, 02:07:27 PM
()


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: IceSpear on August 20, 2019, 03:24:20 PM
Wow, two Senators may get Blanched in a single election cycle. I doubt we'd see that again anytime soon lol.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: NyIndy on August 20, 2019, 03:29:03 PM
Wow, two Senators may get Blanched in a single election cycle. I doubt we'd see that again anytime soon lol.
Opposite Parties too!


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: RI on August 20, 2019, 03:37:29 PM
Even in Colorado, the "socially moderate, fiscally conservative" Republican is not a winning strategy. You can't hold Trump's gains in southern Colorado with that profile, and the suburban types you'd want to pull in are too far gone.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Person Man on August 20, 2019, 05:30:19 PM
Even in Colorado, the "socially moderate, fiscally conservative" Republican is not a winning strategy. You can't hold Trump's gains in southern Colorado with that profile, and the suburban types you'd want to pull in are too far gone.

Gardner isn't "socially moderate". Well, he is if you consider Trump "economically moderate".


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Brittain33 on August 20, 2019, 10:04:24 PM
I was going to merge the threads, but these are two different +13 polls for Hickenlooper.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Calthrina950 on August 20, 2019, 11:55:41 PM
Even in Colorado, the "socially moderate, fiscally conservative" Republican is not a winning strategy. You can't hold Trump's gains in southern Colorado with that profile, and the suburban types you'd want to pull in are too far gone.

I pretty much agree with this. 2018 showed that the Democrats are not completely dead in Southern Colorado. I suspect Hickenlooper would win those counties against Gardner, and would definitely do as well as Polis, and maybe even better, in Denver and its suburbs. Gardner is also not going to do as well in El Paso, Douglas, Mesa, and Weld as he did in 2014, even though he will still win them by double-digit margins.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Yellowhammer on August 20, 2019, 11:58:53 PM
Even in Colorado, the "socially moderate, fiscally conservative" Republican is not a winning strategy. You can't hold Trump's gains in southern Colorado with that profile, and the suburban types you'd want to pull in are too far gone.

Gardner isn't "socially moderate". Well, he is if you consider Trump "economically moderate".

Trump is economically left-leaning.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Sir Mohamed on August 21, 2019, 01:32:50 AM
Wow, two Senators may get Blanched in a single election cycle. I doubt we'd see that again anytime soon lol.
Opposite Parties too!

Actually it would just make sense if Gardner moves to AL and Jones to CO.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Mr. Illini on August 21, 2019, 06:52:51 AM
Gardner should drop out


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Person Man on August 21, 2019, 08:35:08 AM
Even in Colorado, the "socially moderate, fiscally conservative" Republican is not a winning strategy. You can't hold Trump's gains in southern Colorado with that profile, and the suburban types you'd want to pull in are too far gone.

I pretty much agree with this. 2018 showed that the Democrats are not completely dead in Southern Colorado. I suspect Hickenlooper would win those counties against Gardner, and would definitely do as well as Polis, and maybe even better, in Denver and its suburbs. Gardner is also not going to do as well in El Paso, Douglas, Mesa, and Weld as he did in 2014, even though he will still win them by double-digit margins.

Still, Larimer is the county to carry.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Calthrina950 on August 21, 2019, 09:11:20 AM
Even in Colorado, the "socially moderate, fiscally conservative" Republican is not a winning strategy. You can't hold Trump's gains in southern Colorado with that profile, and the suburban types you'd want to pull in are too far gone.

I pretty much agree with this. 2018 showed that the Democrats are not completely dead in Southern Colorado. I suspect Hickenlooper would win those counties against Gardner, and would definitely do as well as Polis, and maybe even better, in Denver and its suburbs. Gardner is also not going to do as well in El Paso, Douglas, Mesa, and Weld as he did in 2014, even though he will still win them by double-digit margins.

Still, Larimer is the county to carry.

Gardner only barely won Larimer County last time, and if he loses to Hickenlooper by this margin, he will lose it by double digits as well, just like Stapleton did to Polis last year.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: RI on August 21, 2019, 09:21:03 AM
Even in Colorado, the "socially moderate, fiscally conservative" Republican is not a winning strategy. You can't hold Trump's gains in southern Colorado with that profile, and the suburban types you'd want to pull in are too far gone.

Gardner isn't "socially moderate". Well, he is if you consider Trump "economically moderate".

Gardner has tried to project a "socially moderate" image, which is probably more important than his actual positions for electoral outcomes.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: MT Treasurer on August 22, 2019, 03:30:58 AM
Wow, two Senators may get Blanched in a single election cycle. I doubt we'd see that again anytime soon lol.

Ed Gillespie was only 18k votes away from competing with Gardner and Jones in the "Which Senator can lose by the largest margin in 2020?" game.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Pericles on August 22, 2019, 03:48:47 AM

Gardner would love to outperform the state's partisanship as much as Heitkamp did.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on August 22, 2019, 03:49:41 AM
Wow, two Senators may get Blanched in a single election cycle. I doubt we'd see that again anytime soon lol.

Ed Gillespie was only 18k votes away from competing with Gardner and Jones in the "Which Senator can lose by the largest margin in 2020?" game.

Well, instead of Gillespie getting blanched in 2020, Warner got warned in 2014.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Frenchrepublican on August 22, 2019, 04:17:09 PM
Wow, two Senators may get Blanched in a single election cycle. I doubt we'd see that again anytime soon lol.

Ed Gillespie was only 18k votes away from competing with Gardner and Jones in the "Which Senator can lose by the largest margin in 2020?" game.

"Which Senator can lose by the largest margin in 2020?" The answer is pretty obvious : Doug Jones who will get Pryored


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Alben Barkley on August 22, 2019, 09:50:47 PM
Even in Colorado, the "socially moderate, fiscally conservative" Republican is not a winning strategy. You can't hold Trump's gains in southern Colorado with that profile, and the suburban types you'd want to pull in are too far gone.

Gardner isn't "socially moderate". Well, he is if you consider Trump "economically moderate".

Trump is economically left-leaning.

LOL.

Yeah, those tax cuts were super left. Trying to repeal Obamacare was super left.

He TALKED/talks vaguely left leaning in terms of a general sort of economic populism that appeals to hicks who don’t like immigrants or gays but don’t want to lose their social security/healthcare, but his actual policies and actions have been far from left. Just another lie and con from the world’s greatest con artist and most compulsive liar.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Yellowhammer on August 23, 2019, 11:27:02 AM
Even in Colorado, the "socially moderate, fiscally conservative" Republican is not a winning strategy. You can't hold Trump's gains in southern Colorado with that profile, and the suburban types you'd want to pull in are too far gone.

Gardner isn't "socially moderate". Well, he is if you consider Trump "economically moderate".

Trump is economically left-leaning.

LOL.

Yeah, those tax cuts were super left. Trying to repeal Obamacare was super left.

He TALKED/talks vaguely left leaning in terms of a general sort of economic populism that appeals to hicks who don’t like immigrants or gays but don’t want to lose their social security/healthcare, but his actual policies and actions have been far from left. Just another lie and con from the world’s greatest con artist and most compulsive liar.

He doesn't show any significantly right-wing economic impulses, at all. Merely "cutting taxes" is not economically right-wing.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: Nyvin on August 24, 2019, 03:08:29 PM
Even in Colorado, the "socially moderate, fiscally conservative" Republican is not a winning strategy. You can't hold Trump's gains in southern Colorado with that profile, and the suburban types you'd want to pull in are too far gone.

Gardner isn't "socially moderate". Well, he is if you consider Trump "economically moderate".

Trump is economically left-leaning.

LOL.

Yeah, those tax cuts were super left. Trying to repeal Obamacare was super left.

He TALKED/talks vaguely left leaning in terms of a general sort of economic populism that appeals to hicks who don’t like immigrants or gays but don’t want to lose their social security/healthcare, but his actual policies and actions have been far from left. Just another lie and con from the world’s greatest con artist and most compulsive liar.

He doesn't show any significantly right-wing economic impulses, at all. Merely "cutting taxes" is not economically right-wing.

Cutting taxes by itself?  Probably not right wing.

Cutting taxes that benefit the super-rich overwhelming (ala 2017 tax bill)?   Yes, definitely right wing.


Title: Re: CO-Emerson: Hickenlooper +13
Post by: 💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his) on August 24, 2019, 03:14:54 PM
There's definitely a lot of truth to the idea that Trump campaigned on moving the Republicans to the center specifically on trade, antitrust, and preserving (some) of the social safety net.

But he's obviously still pretty ideologically conservative on weakening government agencies, deregulation, making taxation more regressive, threatening/cutting parts of the safety net, etc. Also it's worth noting that outside of trade and using antitrust to spite some rich people he doesn't like, he's done nearly none of the economically-left things he campaigned on in 2015/2016.