Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: bagelman on April 07, 2019, 06:35:47 AM



Title: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: bagelman on April 07, 2019, 06:35:47 AM
Were there any surprising county results in 2012?


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: Bidenworth2020 on June 19, 2019, 07:45:58 PM
In hindsight, it is pretty surprising that Elliott stuck with Obama even as the rest of Appalachia fell to Romney.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: MT Treasurer on June 19, 2019, 08:27:49 PM
Lake and Peninsula Borough, AK (and the number of McCain 2008/Obama 2012 boroughs in AK in general)


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: gracile on June 19, 2019, 08:40:30 PM
At the time I remember being surprised that Obama managed to carry several of the big suburban Bush - Obama '08 counties against Romney (Loudoun, DuPage, Ventura, Jefferson, CO).

In hindsight though, it is a bit shocking that Obama did so well in Ohio given what happened in 2016. So because of that, I'll say Trumbull, OH because it swung toward Obama and then promptly shifted heavily toward Trump.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: marty on June 20, 2019, 10:44:14 PM
Not a single county, but Obama's performance in southern and south east ohio. He improved on his 2008 margins all over the region.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: Skye on June 21, 2019, 06:29:09 AM
Miami-Dade, how it swung so heavily towards Obama.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: President Biden on June 21, 2019, 03:39:52 PM
Not a single county, but Obama's performance in southern and south east ohio. He improved on his 2008 margins all over the region.
Given how strongly Appalachia swung against him, why did this particular region swing towards him? Ross County swung 6 points towards him.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: brucejoel99 on July 30, 2019, 03:37:02 AM
Miami-Dade, how it swung so heavily towards Obama.

This. I remember MDC turnout was surprisingly massive in 2012.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: #PACK THE COURTS on July 30, 2019, 07:35:41 PM
The general fact that Ohio had a huge cluster of D trending Counties in the South-Central area of the state that just entirely stopped at the Kentucky border, and then Kentucky also had a huge cluster of D trending Counties in the North-Central area of the state that just entirely stopped at the Indiana border.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: annecortez on April 18, 2020, 09:25:18 PM
Well, I know that it has been days. But I guess 2012 election remains to be one of the best! Some may not agree with me, but that's according to my own perception.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: Sol on May 14, 2020, 03:27:56 PM
In hindsight though, it is a bit shocking that Obama did so well in Ohio given what happened in 2016.

If I remember correctly, Obama actually underperformed his polling in Ohio, where he had a fairly narrow but consistent lead.

Obama's strong performance in a lot of declining ex-industrial communities isn't too surprising if you remember that Obama's 2012 campaign ran to the left on economic issues, smearing Mitt Romney's record at Bain Capital, opposition to the auto bailout, etc.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: El Betico on May 30, 2020, 06:35:38 PM
Maybe I was gullible, but I thought Romney would have narrowly won Hamilton County, OH.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: SaneDemocrat on June 15, 2020, 09:00:00 AM
In hindsight though, it is a bit shocking that Obama did so well in Ohio given what happened in 2016.

If I remember correctly, Obama actually underperformed his polling in Ohio, where he had a fairly narrow but consistent lead.

Obama's strong performance in a lot of declining ex-industrial communities isn't too surprising if you remember that Obama's 2012 campaign ran to the left on economic issues, smearing Mitt Romney's record at Bain Capital, opposition to the auto bailout, etc.

 think he underperformed expectations in Oho but not polling


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: Oregon Eagle Politics on December 10, 2020, 11:27:36 AM
The weird county in Louisiana that swung towards Obama strongly.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: Chips on February 03, 2021, 10:43:37 PM
Probably Chester, PA. It was only 529 votes though.