Talk Elections

Andrew Gillum (D) 49
Ron DeSantis (R) 42

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=cfbb4f43-54d4-4d79-b06f-5bfd01c72a34

First time Nelson has out performed Gillum.

Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....

Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17

Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.

These Pollsters really have completely lost.

WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.

Looks like DeSantis really monkeyed his campaign up

And it's still a great poll for Gillum. Probably a bit exaggerated, but Florida going Democratic in a good year for Democrats isn't exactly revolutionary.

But, Bagel has it Lean R

This is like their first election since like 1990 that the FDL is unambiguously in the driver seat.

ok, lets say its even. gillum still leads by 2 and nelson by 3

Dunno how to embed this but this is me when I read this:

https://giphy.com/gifs/people-hd-gifsremastered-10Jpr9KSaXLchW

Clever. By the way, I never thought that joke would end up harming his campaign, and perhaps it didn't. But that should have been a sign that DeSantis was truly the awful candidate that he has turned out to be.

I'll tell you what, it's nice to be on the side that isn't constantly having to rationalize bad polls in the run-up to the election. It's been a long time coming :p

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^ That gif is the greatest thing ever



Trying to unskew all these polls is a fool's errand. Take it from Democrats (and Republicans) who vigorously unskewed polls only to get egg on their faces over the past 10 years. Just throw the poll into the average and it usually works itself out.

If my time on Atlas leaves only Nuclear Elmo and Nodding Nicholson as memes it’s still a success

Oh did I Cory?

Looks like I guessed every seat right on my atlas governor map except Kansas.

Looks like on the atlas governor map that Cory guessed he got Kansas, Alaska, Georgia, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, South Dakota, and New Hampshire wrong.

Thanks for playing.

Ps. feel free to hit me back for my house prediction which I admit was completely awful.

So I got 35/36 gov seats right on my official atlas map while Cory got 28/36.

Politician played politics with his predictions, and so did Solid. They vanished since the election and won't admit their mistakes.

Too many like us followed him

I look back at these polls and weep....

Never again will I trust a Florida poll that shows a Democrat leading.  Never again.

lol

Where are they? They both said Cordray and Gillum winning and Solid still had Garcia winning

This poll was taken before Hamiltongate, you know the one that most of the Forum called me a troll for saying would cost Gillum the race.

You also said Republicans would win the House in a landslide like the day before that.

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The Republicans were headed towards a red wave on the day I decided to stop posting about the midterms. It abruptly reverse on the day I left. See, the more I obsess over politics, the more everything I care about goes to hell in it.