Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Presidential Election Trends => Topic started by: progressive85 on October 09, 2018, 08:06:08 PM



Title: 2052 election
Post by: progressive85 on October 09, 2018, 08:06:08 PM
2052 is a rematch of 2048, which was narrowly won by the Republican, a moderate Latina Governor of California.  She beat the Democratic candidate, the socialist firebrand Speaker of the House of Texas.  2052 is the first election since the Second Great Depression began, which started in the United States in the summer of 2051.  The incumbent's poll numbers are the lowest that have ever been recorded - only 9% of the American people approve of her job performance.  She has been attacked relentlessly by a far-right third-party candidate.  The socialist Democrat has pushed aggressively for a hard left turn - but long-standing Republican advantages in the Senate and veto threats from the President have stymied his agenda.

The biggest prizes are California, Texas, and Florida - which collectively make up 133 electoral votes - nearly half of the 270 needed.  The President won all three of them in 2048 - but her approval ratings in all three by 2052 are abysmal.

Democrats have never nominated someone who identified a pure socialist - only social democrats and liberals have won the nomination in the 21st century.  The President is the most moderate Republican president since Dwight D. Eisenhower - but she faces an uprising in her party.  She barely won re-nomination and the wounds are deep as she headed into the general election.  The nationalist, far-right, and passionate third-party populist has cut into her support among conservative voters, which are the minority in the United States.

A poll in the summer of 2052 shows 41% of Americans identify as left-leaning or progressive, 38% identify as moderate or middle-of-the-road, and 21% identify as right-leaning or conservative.

63% of the American people are open to voting for a socialist for President while 26% say they would rule it out entirely.

The most important issue of course is the economy (87% say it is).  Other important issues are housing (79%), natural disasters (74%), automation (72%), cyberwarfare (70%), and hate groups (68%).

The Depression has been a boon to nationalists and the far-right.  There are 54 white supremacists running for Congress in 2052 and 9 Neo Nazis.  Hate crimes have skyrocketed and the proliferation of hate groups, domestic terrorist groups, and radicals has been dominating the headlines all year.

82% of Americans say the greatest threats the United States faces are homegrown and not foreign.  There is almost no interest in what is happening in other countries - with dangerous implications.  55 nations have elected radical or once-fringe party leaders since the worldwide depression began in 2050.  There have been 2,400 major violent uprisings throughout the summer of 2052 - the death toll from these is 8 million people worldwide.

The Democrat, if elected, promises nothing else than a revolution and has put forward a list of 76 things he will pass through the Congress within his first 10 days in power.  Being the Speaker has made him the most powerful person in Congress and the Democrats have showed near-complete party unity in supporting his agenda.  Democrats have 263 seats in the House and most of the caucus is very liberal.

2052 is also a redistricting election, but by now mostly all the states have tried to take partisan politics out of the redistricting process as much as they can.

The Senate class that is up in 2052 is the same class that was up in 2016.  There are 103 seats in the Senate (2 were added for Puerto Rico, which became the 51st state in the 2030s and one for DC).  The Republicans have a 52-45-6 majority in the Senate.



Title: Re: 2052 election
Post by: Person Man on October 14, 2018, 11:56:32 AM
2052 is a rematch of 2048, which was narrowly won by the Republican, a moderate Latina Governor of California.  She beat the Democratic candidate, the socialist firebrand Speaker of the House of Texas.  2052 is the first election since the Second Great Depression began, which started in the United States in the summer of 2051.  The incumbent's poll numbers are the lowest that have ever been recorded - only 9% of the American people approve of her job performance.  She has been attacked relentlessly by a far-right third-party candidate.  The socialist Democrat has pushed aggressively for a hard left turn - but long-standing Republican advantages in the Senate and veto threats from the President have stymied his agenda.

The biggest prizes are California, Texas, and Florida - which collectively make up 133 electoral votes - nearly half of the 270 needed.  The President won all three of them in 2048 - but her approval ratings in all three by 2052 are abysmal.

Democrats have never nominated someone who identified a pure socialist - only social democrats and liberals have won the nomination in the 21st century.  The President is the most moderate Republican president since Dwight D. Eisenhower - but she faces an uprising in her party.  She barely won re-nomination and the wounds are deep as she headed into the general election.  The nationalist, far-right, and passionate third-party populist has cut into her support among conservative voters, which are the minority in the United States.

A poll in the summer of 2052 shows 41% of Americans identify as left-leaning or progressive, 38% identify as moderate or middle-of-the-road, and 21% identify as right-leaning or conservative.

63% of the American people are open to voting for a socialist for President while 26% say they would rule it out entirely.

The most important issue of course is the economy (87% say it is).  Other important issues are housing (79%), natural disasters (74%), automation (72%), cyberwarfare (70%), and hate groups (68%).

The Depression has been a boon to nationalists and the far-right.  There are 54 white supremacists running for Congress in 2052 and 9 Neo Nazis.  Hate crimes have skyrocketed and the proliferation of hate groups, domestic terrorist groups, and radicals has been dominating the headlines all year.

82% of Americans say the greatest threats the United States faces are homegrown and not foreign.  There is almost no interest in what is happening in other countries - with dangerous implications.  55 nations have elected radical or once-fringe party leaders since the worldwide depression began in 2050.  There have been 2,400 major violent uprisings throughout the summer of 2052 - the death toll from these is 8 million people worldwide.

The Democrat, if elected, promises nothing else than a revolution and has put forward a list of 76 things he will pass through the Congress within his first 10 days in power.  Being the Speaker has made him the most powerful person in Congress and the Democrats have showed near-complete party unity in supporting his agenda.  Democrats have 263 seats in the House and most of the caucus is very liberal.

2052 is also a redistricting election, but by now mostly all the states have tried to take partisan politics out of the redistricting process as much as they can.

The Senate class that is up in 2052 is the same class that was up in 2016.  There are 103 seats in the Senate (2 were added for Puerto Rico, which became the 51st state in the 2030s and one for DC).  The Republicans have a 52-45-6 majority in the Senate.



That sounds like a hurricane!