Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: TheRocketRaccoon on August 22, 2018, 08:49:33 AM



Title: SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4
Post by: TheRocketRaccoon on August 22, 2018, 08:49:33 AM
https://www.postandcourier.com/politics/democrat-moves-to-center-in-south-carolina-governor-s-race/article_efeeaacc-a551-11e8-b288-cf9f194b038c.html

McMaster 47
Smith 43


Title: Re: SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4
Post by: Sir Mohamed on August 22, 2018, 09:09:19 AM
Sleeper race?

McMaster seemed vulnerable from the beginning on, he nearly lost the primary and only prevailed thanks to Trump.

Not more than Lean R at this moment. Probably even closer to toss-up than likely, but we need to see more polling as the campaign progresses.


Title: Re: SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4
Post by: Zaybay on August 22, 2018, 09:10:48 AM
McMaster is definitely vulnerable, but I dont see the undecideds flipping to the Ds in a large enough quantity.


Title: Re: SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4
Post by: Politician on August 22, 2018, 09:11:08 AM
Likely R, but I wouldn't be surprised if this was within five points (even in 2010, this race was much closer than expected).


Title: Re: SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4
Post by: KingSweden on August 22, 2018, 09:11:52 AM
McMaster is definitely vulnerable, but I dont see the undecideds flipping to the Ds in a large enough quantity.


Title: Re: SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4
Post by: Skye on August 22, 2018, 09:18:51 AM
McMaster is definitely vulnerable, but I dont see the undecideds flipping to the Ds in a large enough quantity.


Title: Re: SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4
Post by: GM Team Member and Senator WB on August 22, 2018, 09:58:01 AM
Still lean R, a bit disappointing since this is an internal.


Title: Re: SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4
Post by: MT Treasurer on August 22, 2018, 10:01:23 AM
43% in a Democratic internal tells us nothing. Any Democrat running statewide in SC is guaranteed roughly 43% of the vote in a year like this.


Title: Re: SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4
Post by: IceSpear on August 22, 2018, 10:36:57 AM
43% in a Democratic internal tells us nothing. Any Democrat running statewide in SC is guaranteed roughly 43% of the vote in a year like this.

This. I'm not going to draw any conclusions from a single internal poll, especially from a pollster that routinely inflates Democratic chances.


Title: Re: SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 22, 2018, 11:49:03 AM
43% in a Democratic internal tells us nothing. Any Democrat running statewide in SC is guaranteed roughly 43% of the vote in a year like this.

This. I'm not going to draw any conclusions from a single internal poll, especially from a pollster that routinely inflates Democratic chances.

The way the House is going, you can have upsets, but OK is more likely to flip at this point.


Title: SC: Garin-Hart-Yang: McMaster (R) +4
Post by: Tender Branson on August 23, 2018, 01:37:49 PM
New Poll: South Carolina Governor by Garin-Hart-Yang on 2018-08-09 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=4520180809270)

Summary: D: 43%, R: 47%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://www.postandcourier.com/politics/democrat-moves-to-center-in-south-carolina-governor-s-race/article_efeeaacc-a551-11e8-b288-cf9f194b038c.html)