Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Presidential Election Trends => Topic started by: Kingpoleon on November 03, 2017, 03:56:18 PM



Title: 2024: Gov. Elise Stefanik/Sen. Carlos Curbelo vs. Pres. Baldwin/VP Newsom
Post by: Kingpoleon on November 03, 2017, 03:56:18 PM
Who wins and what does the map look like?

All relative to November 2020; as of Sep. 2024:
Inflation: 3.4%(+1.5%)
Unemployment: 6.9%(+2.3%)
Average household income: $64,500(-$12,000)
Federal VAT: 9.9%(-7.6%)
Top income tax bracket: 44.9%(+5.3%)
Lowest income tax bracket: 14.9%(+9.9%)
Federal spending: $5.6 trillion(+$1.6 trillion)
Federal deficit: $450 billion(+$375 billion)

Stefanik was elected in 2022 over Jumaane Williams/Zephyr Teachout, and Curbelo won as Rubio retired to run for President in 2024.


Title: Re: 2024: Gov. Elise Stefanik/Sen. Carlos Curbelo vs. Pres. Baldwin/VP Newsom
Post by: Bidenworth2020 on November 03, 2017, 04:28:03 PM
http://www.270towin.com/maps/gvbdj


Title: Re: 2024: Gov. Elise Stefanik/Sen. Carlos Curbelo vs. Pres. Baldwin/VP Newsom
Post by: Lachi on November 03, 2017, 06:53:06 PM
I do not recommend using 2020 EV numbers for elections post 2020.
That map under 2024 projections would be 269-269


Title: Re: 2024: Gov. Elise Stefanik/Sen. Carlos Curbelo vs. Pres. Baldwin/VP Newsom
Post by: SATW on November 03, 2017, 11:20:49 PM
> Republican in New York post-2008
> Becoming Governor

404 error


Title: Re: 2024: Gov. Elise Stefanik/Sen. Carlos Curbelo vs. Pres. Baldwin/VP Newsom
Post by: bagelman on November 04, 2017, 12:01:04 AM
> Republican in New York post-2008
> Becoming Governor

404 error

This is Kingpoleon. The whole national political seen is all closer to the center.


Title: Re: 2024: Gov. Elise Stefanik/Sen. Carlos Curbelo vs. Pres. Baldwin/VP Newsom
Post by: Kingpoleon on November 07, 2017, 09:36:23 PM
> Republican in New York post-2008
> Becoming Governor

404 error

This is Kingpoleon. The whole national political seen is all closer to the center.

I’d love to see why/how Stefanik beating Jumaane Williams or Zephyr Teachout is impossible.