Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Presidential Election Trends => Topic started by: Kevin on July 18, 2005, 02:10:44 PM



Title: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Kevin on July 18, 2005, 02:10:44 PM
Does anybody here know why Vermont has become so liberal?


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Alcon on July 18, 2005, 02:12:03 PM
It's more the way the parties have shifted than anything.  Vermont mixes progressive populist (think the DFL in Minnesota) with "latte liberals" (as much as I hate that term) with winning elections.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on July 18, 2005, 02:12:08 PM
Does anybody here know why Vermont has become so liberal?

Maybe they got sick of being demonized by the national Republican party.  Jeffords and Dean may have helped, too.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Kevin on July 18, 2005, 02:14:22 PM
I thought it was all the yuppies moving there.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: 12th Doctor on July 18, 2005, 02:38:58 PM
TV Broadcasts from Canada, perhaps.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: MasterJedi on July 18, 2005, 03:26:49 PM
Their secessionist behavior?


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: WalterMitty on July 18, 2005, 07:32:31 PM
Does anybody here know why Vermont has become so liberal?

Maybe they got sick of being demonized by the national Republican party.  Jeffords and Dean may have helped, too.

vermont has been demonized by the republican party?


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: opebo on July 18, 2005, 09:00:48 PM
Social issues.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: nini2287 on July 18, 2005, 09:01:58 PM

Yeah, I think you're right opebo.  Same reason AR and WV have become so conservative


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon on July 18, 2005, 10:01:53 PM
All of the above.  (Especially those damn Canadian TV broadcasts..grrrrr)

Vermont has had a 'perfect storm' that would push it from being the most Republican state in the Union to a reasonably Democratic bastion in Presidential elections.

The Yuppies moving there from manhattan have made the Burlington area especially Democratic.  There has been somewhat of a partisan shift, though the far eastern counties do still trend Republican as they always have done.  I think a non-southern candidate for the GOP would make the state more competitive again.

They do have a whacko socialist member of Congress.... but so did Louisiana in the 30's.  (Huey long)


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Snefix on July 20, 2005, 12:45:02 AM
Demonizing Dean as being a latte-drinking, New York Times-reading, Volvo-driving, democratic freak show and saying that it belongs in Vermont probably hasn't helped things.  Of course, that was a Club for Growth Ad, not a GOP ad, but most people don't know the difference.

Actually, I think Vermont is the only state where Bush lost ground from 2000 to 2004.  Maybe Dean had something to do with it.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Erc on July 20, 2005, 01:19:01 AM
Native Vermonters, for all I know, may still be voting for Republicans (as they still do, to some extent, in the Northeast Kingdom).  But with all the foreigners colonizing the area [just as they do here in the Berkshires, 3 miles south of the border], it's little surprise that the state swung Democrat--and that the liberalism has rubbed off on the local population.  Plus the locals were never really Conservatives of the modern stamp, anyhow.

New England is generally weird politically as it is.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Erc on July 20, 2005, 01:35:49 AM
Just to prove my point.

Howard Dean, the shining example (to most) of Vermont Liberalism.

From "Real Vermonters Don't Milk Goats," (c) 1983, a little gem of a book I had lying on my shelf.

One section of the book classifies people by how close they are to being Real Vermonters.

Quote
Perpetual Aspirants:

These are Flatlanders who want desperately to be like Real Vermonters.  Many, are sweet, kind, and very sincere.  But they just can't seem to shake their flatlanderism.


Howard Dean

Sell your pickup truck.  You don't look like a Real Vermonter in it anyway.

(Dean, of course, was born in New York, grew up in the Hamptons, went to prep school, went to Yale, and only arrived in Vermont in '78 to do his residency at UVT).


On Jim Jeffords:

"Congressman Jeffords can't decide if he's a Republican or a Democrat, wants to be a Senator or a Governor, or where to sleep at night--in his office or in a house like real Vermonters do."


How Prescient.





Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Snefix on July 20, 2005, 02:00:22 AM
I think he actually did sell that pickup.  I seem to recall a small news story about Dean being an enviromental hypocrite because he owned an SUV.  Or maybe it was Kerry?  It probably belonged to his wife. ;-)


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Gustaf on July 20, 2005, 03:25:23 AM
I disagree with the idea that the Norhternmost part of New England has trended Democrat only because of migration, since other Northeastern states are just as liberal as before (MA, RI, NY). At the same time NJ and CT have also trended to the Democrats.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Smash255 on July 20, 2005, 03:52:36 AM
I disagree with the idea that the Norhternmost part of New England has trended Democrat only because of migration, since other Northeastern states are just as liberal as before (MA, RI, NY). At the same time NJ and CT have also trended to the Democrats.

NY has become even more Dem & liberal than it use to be.  The NYC suburbs usually kept the state at least within reach for the GOP, but has trended to the left starting in the early 90
s.  Casing point Nassau Co (where I live) went Republican in every Pres election from 1916-1988 except for 64 when LBJ won every NY Conty, it has gone Dem each of the last 4 Pres elections.  Westchester has gone through a very similar shift, as has Suffolk County.  It may not have that much to do with migration, but just the overall idealofgical shift of the region as well as a growing shift between the two parties on social issues


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Alcon on July 20, 2005, 07:27:34 AM
I do recall seeing a poll that Massachuestts immigrants were actually more likely to be Republicans than the Vermont state average, and that local Vermonters voted heavily Democratic, somewhere around 60%.

It was in one of the 2004 state polls for Vermont.  I'd look for it, but I'm on a 56K.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: bgwah on July 20, 2005, 11:46:25 AM
Republicans almost always blame trends like this on "migration," don't they?

If it's a suburb, its those icky city Democrats moving in. If it's a rural area, it's those damn yuppies!

The truth is Vermont isn't stupid, because only stupid people (or very wealthy but evil people) are the ones who vote for the Repulsive Party.

I'm just kidding about that last sentence...sort of :)


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Kevin on July 20, 2005, 12:27:23 PM
Say that to 51% of America!


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Snefix on July 20, 2005, 03:12:34 PM
Wow.  "Repulsive Party."  That's good.  The also very original.  That's almost as clever as 'dumbocrats' or 'democraps.' :-/


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Kevin on July 20, 2005, 03:30:58 PM
Thank You


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on July 20, 2005, 03:42:13 PM
::)

To most things in this thread...


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: bgwah on July 20, 2005, 03:50:44 PM
Wow.  "Repulsive Party."  That's good.  The also very original.  That's almost as clever as 'dumbocrats' or 'democraps.' :-/

On Free Republic it's the democRATS, but usually just "the rats." But you probably already knew that. :)


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Snefix on July 20, 2005, 06:40:53 PM
I don't frequent Free Republic, so not particularly.  I've heard that one before, all the same.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: TheresNoMoney on July 20, 2005, 09:23:50 PM
Vermonters are small-town, folksy people. They are not "latte liberals" and they did not "migrate" from Massachusetts.

People like Patrick Leahy, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Dean helped turn Vermont into a Democratic/left haven. Vermonters want politicians that care about the average person's needs, and they find that in the Democratic party.



Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Snefix on July 20, 2005, 10:23:06 PM
Self-admitted socialist Bernie Sanders = Democrat?


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: MaC on July 21, 2005, 06:37:49 PM

Actually, I think Vermont is the only state where Bush lost ground from 2000 to 2004.  Maybe Dean had something to do with it.

did you mean New Hampshire?


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: MaC on July 21, 2005, 06:41:55 PM
no, wait, I think you may be right.  I was thinking of state that flipped against Bush that was previously for him.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Lincoln Republican on July 21, 2005, 10:05:18 PM
My view is that Vermont Republicans have always been "Theodore Roosevelt Republicans", or "Dewey Republicans" or "Rockefeller Republicans."

In that sense, even Republicans in Vermont have been somewhat liberal.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Alcon on July 26, 2005, 05:02:00 PM
Actually, I think Vermont is the only state where Bush lost ground from 2000 to 2004.  Maybe Dean had something to do with it.

He also lost ground in South Dakota, just as an aside.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: bgwah on July 27, 2005, 07:31:50 PM
Actually, I think Vermont is the only state where Bush lost ground from 2000 to 2004.  Maybe Dean had something to do with it.

He also lost ground in South Dakota, just as an aside.

And North Carolina!


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Alcon on July 27, 2005, 07:36:23 PM
Actually, I think Vermont is the only state where Bush lost ground from 2000 to 2004.  Maybe Dean had something to do with it.

He also lost ground in South Dakota, just as an aside.

And North Carolina!

Oh, really?  Never knew that.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: True Democrat on July 27, 2005, 08:50:48 PM
Actually, I think Vermont is the only state where Bush lost ground from 2000 to 2004.  Maybe Dean had something to do with it.

He also lost ground in South Dakota, just as an aside.

And North Carolina!

Oh, really?  Never knew that.

Also lost ground in Montana, if you count Buchanan's votes in 2000 as going to Bush.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: Max Power on July 27, 2005, 10:07:37 PM
Actually, I think Vermont is the only state where Bush lost ground from 2000 to 2004.  Maybe Dean had something to do with it.

He also lost ground in South Dakota, just as an aside.

And North Carolina!

Oh, really?  Never knew that.

Also lost ground in Montana, if you count Buchanan's votes in 2000 as going to Bush.
And New Jersey. And Delaware.


Title: Re: Why has Vermont become so liberal
Post by: RBH on July 28, 2005, 01:30:03 AM
It's not that Vermont has become liberal. It's that Vermont has become a place for the Democratic party.

Vermont swung from 72% for Eisenhower and 59% for Nixon to 66% for Johnson, which is probably one of the bigger swings of any state in that time period.

Vermont Republicans are part of the dying breed of Moderates.