Title: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Tender Branson on November 01, 2016, 12:47:04 PM Oct. 25-31 results:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArTE5ST1ZtUE1kdjg/view Quote Updated November 1, 2016 9am PST As we approach November 8th, SurveyMonkey will be releasing rolling 7-day polling averages on the presidential race in all 50 states (plus the District of Columbia). We will be releasing our rolling state-level polls daily at 9am Pacific, so bookmark this page for updates. https://www.surveymonkey.com/elections/map Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Ebsy on November 01, 2016, 12:47:56 PM Noooooooooo.
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Devout Centrist on November 01, 2016, 12:48:30 PM The Junkening has begun!
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Tender Branson on November 01, 2016, 12:49:39 PM Contrary to the map, the Google file contains Johnson/Stein/McMullin data !
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: DavidB. on November 01, 2016, 12:52:31 PM Haha, those South Carolina numbers. #BattlegroundSC
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Speed of Sound on November 01, 2016, 12:52:38 PM This'll make good lining for my birdcage, at least.
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Crumpets on November 01, 2016, 12:53:27 PM I mean it's not a terrible map...
Michigan is Safe D, though. Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: KingSweden on November 01, 2016, 12:54:46 PM Should these be added to the database? No, nor should they be on 538 (yet are) Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Tender Branson on November 01, 2016, 12:55:29 PM The press release also says they have rolling Senate and Gov. results, but I cannot find the results pages for this ...
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: DavidB. on November 01, 2016, 12:55:30 PM Michigan is Safe D, though. Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Tender Branson on November 01, 2016, 12:56:13 PM Should these be added to the database? If you want to add 400 polls to the database over the next week, sure ... :P Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Vern on November 01, 2016, 12:56:56 PM Overall they aren't too bad of numbers
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: DavidB. on November 01, 2016, 12:58:04 PM Should these be added to the database? Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: the506 on November 01, 2016, 12:59:17 PM Most of these numbers almost seem reasonable.
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Person Man on November 01, 2016, 12:59:23 PM It's a win.
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: afleitch on November 01, 2016, 01:00:22 PM The demographic drill downs are fun :)
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Person Man on November 01, 2016, 01:10:05 PM The demographic drill downs are fun :) I'm lazy. What's going on down there? Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Beefalow and the Consumer on November 01, 2016, 01:12:29 PM LOL @ all those double-digit Johnson numbers.
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on November 01, 2016, 01:19:38 PM LOL @ all those double-digit Johnson numbers. Just add them to Trump's numbers :P Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: SUSAN CRUSHBONE on November 01, 2016, 01:44:00 PM The demographic drill downs are fun :) I'm lazy. What's going on down there? men and whites beïng garbage, as usual Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Eraserhead on November 01, 2016, 02:23:37 PM The third party numbers are interesting but probably exaggerated.
Top 3 Johnson states are: 1. New Mexico 17% 2. South Dakota 16% 3. Alaska 13% Top 3 Stein states are: 1. Vermont 8% 2. Hawaii & Rhode Island tied at 7% McMullin is in third place in Utah at 26% and in fourth place in Idaho at 7%. He's at 0% everywhere else but I'm not sure if he was actually included in any of the other polls. Stein is only ahead on Johnson in DC but they are tied in a few states (Hawaii, New York, Rhode Island and West Virginia). Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Person Man on November 02, 2016, 03:46:08 PM Friewall plus Florida and NC holding.
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: SUSAN CRUSHBONE on November 02, 2016, 06:02:41 PM Oct. 26 - Nov. 1 results: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArOWEtc1BTbzhOT2s/view Nevada: 43-42 Trump Florida: 47-44 Clinton Iowa: 45-39 Trump Colorado: 43-40 Clinton Arizona: 43-42 Trump North Carolina: 49-42 Clinton Ohio: 45-42 Trump Pennsylvania: 48-42 Clinton Wisconsin: 44-42 Clinton other interesting results: georgia 45-44 trump mississippi 47-41 trump new hampshire 49-35 clinton south carolina 45-44 trump utah 34-30-26 t/c/m virginia 49-39 clinton Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: adrac on November 02, 2016, 06:12:54 PM Not terrible, honestly.
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: ‼realJohnEwards‼ on November 02, 2016, 06:30:04 PM Yuuuuuge!
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: elcorazon on November 03, 2016, 02:27:05 PM Oct. 27 - Nov. 2 results: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArNzhDcllNSURkTmM/view Nevada: 44-43 Trump (no change) Florida: 47-44 Clinton (no change) Iowa: 47-37 Trump (R+4) Colorado: 44-40 Clinton (D+1) Arizona: 43-43 TIE (D+1) North Carolina: 49-41 Clinton (D+1) Ohio: 46-41 Trump (R+2) Pennsylvania: 47-42 Clinton (R+1) Wisconsin: 44-42 Clinton (no change) Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: SUSAN CRUSHBONE on November 03, 2016, 05:26:39 PM made a map of the gender gap in the last batch of results
() Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: ‼realJohnEwards‼ on November 03, 2016, 05:33:12 PM Is Clinton winning WV women at this rate?
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: SUSAN CRUSHBONE on November 03, 2016, 06:00:16 PM Is Clinton winning WV women at this rate? nah. down 8 with women, down 56 with men Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: rafta_rafta on November 03, 2016, 06:50:54 PM Tracker polls are generally low quality, but 50 state tracker polls are worthless.
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: ‼realJohnEwards‼ on November 03, 2016, 08:17:41 PM Is Clinton winning WV women at this rate? nah. down 8 with women, down 56 with men Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: IceSpear on November 04, 2016, 12:22:05 AM Is Clinton winning WV women at this rate? nah. down 8 with women, down 56 with men Racist WV Hicks are racist. News at 11. Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Ozymandias on November 06, 2016, 03:43:31 AM SurveyMonkey's latest 50-state results aren't actually that crazy, given the other polls we've seen in recent days:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArMDZYamh1eDNKVEE/view C/T/J/S/M = Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/McMullin SurveyMonkey Election Tracking conducted October 28 - November 3, 2016 Among likely voters state C T J S M None Unweighted n Alabama 36% 52% 6% 2% 0% 3% 722 Alaska 35% 46% 11% 5% 0% 3% 334 Arizona 44% 43% 8% 3% 0% 2% 1748 Arkansas 34% 55% 6% 3% 0% 2% 696 California 56% 29% 7% 5% 0% 3% 2528 Colorado 44% 40% 10% 3% 0% 2% 1927 Connecticut 52% 38% 6% 3% 0% 2% 925 D.C. 85% 5% 3% 5% 0% 1% 324 Delaware 50% 36% 8% 2% 0% 3% 405 Florida 47% 45% 4% 2% 0% 2% 3356 Georgia 44% 46% 6% 0% 0% 4% 2872 Hawaii 52% 29% 8% 7% 0% 4% 435 Idaho 30% 49% 6% 3% 10% 1% 498 Illinois 52% 37% 6% 3% 0% 2% 1120 Indiana 35% 52% 9% 0% 0% 3% 923 Iowa 37% 47% 10% 3% 0% 4% 1469 Kansas 36% 49% 10% 4% 0% 2% 1162 Kentucky 35% 55% 6% 3% 0% 2% 843 Louisiana 37% 52% 5% 2% 0% 3% 646 Maine 48% 39% 6% 4% 0% 2% 590 Maryland 62% 27% 6% 4% 0% 1% 851 Massachusetts 56% 29% 8% 3% 0% 4% 1004 Michigan 44% 43% 9% 3% 0% 2% 2362 Minnesota 47% 37% 9% 3% 0% 4% 1055 Mississippi 40% 49% 5% 3% 0% 3% 673 Missouri 39% 49% 8% 3% 0% 2% 879 Montana 34% 53% 9% 2% 0% 2% 403 Nebraska 35% 51% 8% 2% 0% 4% 707 Nevada 43% 44% 9% 0% 0% 4% 1016 New Hampshire 47% 37% 11% 3% 0% 3% 672 New Jersey 55% 37% 3% 3% 0% 2% 943 New Mexico 41% 36% 17% 4% 0% 3% 794 New York 57% 32% 5% 4% 0% 2% 1949 North Carolina 48% 42% 7% 0% 0% 3% 2292 North Dakota 29% 56% 11% 2% 0% 1% 276 Ohio 41% 46% 8% 2% 0% 2% 2004 Oklahoma 32% 56% 10% 0% 0% 2% 905 Oregon 51% 36% 7% 4% 0% 3% 1150 Pennsylvania 46% 43% 6% 2% 0% 2% 2454 Rhode Island 49% 38% 6% 4% 0% 3% 392 South Carolina 43% 47% 5% 2% 0% 3% 1583 South Dakota 31% 52% 15% 0% 0% 3% 393 Tennessee 41% 49% 5% 3% 0% 2% 1063 Texas 42% 47% 6% 2% 0% 3% 2322 Utah 30% 33% 7% 2% 26% 2% 1327 Vermont 57% 24% 10% 7% 0% 2% 449 Virginia 48% 40% 7% 2% 0% 2% 2073 Washington 53% 34% 7% 5% 0% 2% 944 West Virginia 27% 57% 7% 3% 0% 6% 386 Wisconsin 45% 43% 7% 3% 0% 3% 1568 Wyoming 21% 61% 9% 5% 0% 4% 200 Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: ‼realJohnEwards‼ on November 06, 2016, 05:53:32 AM SC to the left of Ohio? Whee...
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Eraserhead on November 06, 2016, 07:49:25 AM lol, third party support is obviously too high in these but it would be amazing to see Trump come in third or fourth place in DC.
Title: Re: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread Post by: Person Man on November 06, 2016, 07:53:51 AM http://www.270towin.com/maps/D3x1k
This map would be awesome both for the sore winnerness and the lolz. |