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Title: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: HillOfANight on October 25, 2016, 08:29:02 AM http://20an0w2e66jla4rfm1idisr1.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/ABC_Project_Timeline.pdf
https://twitter.com/jeffroe/status/790900744278806528 http://axiomstrategies.com/abc/ "Remington Research Group is a polling firm that specializes in automated IVR technology." Colorado Clinton 45 Trump 43 Florida Clinton 46 Trump 46 Nevada Clinton 44 Trump 47 North Carolina Clinton 44 Trump 47 Ohio Clinton 42 Trump 46 Pennsylvania Clinton 45 Trump 42 Virginia Clinton 48 Trump 43 Wisconsin Clinton 46 Trump 41 Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 25, 2016, 08:30:25 AM Lol - next.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: LimoLiberal on October 25, 2016, 08:30:45 AM Lol. There is literally nothing to support any of these numbers in any of these states.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Gass3268 on October 25, 2016, 08:32:55 AM Anyone notice how Axiom stopped relaseing those county level polls whenever Trump was losing.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Rand on October 25, 2016, 08:33:24 AM God, I see a Trump tweetgasm coming.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: The Other Castro on October 25, 2016, 08:35:20 AM Now that Cruz has fully uncucked, his pollster is following suit.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: HillOfANight on October 25, 2016, 08:36:37 AM Anyone notice how Axiom stopped relaseing those county level polls whenever Trump was losing. http://axiomstrategies.com/abc/ They did release a fresh batch. Movement everywhere, sometimes significantly to Clinton, except 2. Jefferson CO C+2 > C+3 Hillsborough FL T+1 > C+2 Washoe NV T+17 > T+6 Watauga NC T+8 > T+4 Sandusky OH T+7 > T+5 Hamilton OH C+1 > T+1 Luzerne PA T+15 > T+11 Northampton PA T+8 > C+3 Loudoun VA C+2 > C+8 Door WI C+9 > C+7 Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: BoAtlantis on October 25, 2016, 08:39:00 AM Finally polls that Trump can tweet about.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: calvinhobbesliker on October 25, 2016, 08:44:16 AM This pollster seems to call landlines only.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: rafta_rafta on October 25, 2016, 08:49:49 AM Now that even Rassy isn't showing a lead for HRC, this poll will become the new gold standard
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on October 25, 2016, 08:52:43 AM God, I see a Trump tweetgasm coming. Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Sir Mohamed on October 25, 2016, 08:57:30 AM Tie in FL and the faker up in NC and NV?
() Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Classic Conservative on October 25, 2016, 09:00:52 AM Just add 5 to Clinton then it seems right.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Fusionmunster on October 25, 2016, 09:07:25 AM Landline only robo poll, what fun.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: HillOfANight on October 25, 2016, 09:15:02 AM They don't really detail their methodology. Who knows if the spike the D number up 3 like Emerson to not look like complete outliers.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on October 25, 2016, 09:40:25 AM We now take you to an Atlas-Exclusive look-in at the Remington-Axiom polling outfit in action calling voters in Ohio!
() "Can we count on your vote to Make America Great Again?" Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Landslide Lyndon on October 25, 2016, 09:42:30 AM Has there ever been any other election with so many crappy pollsters?
All we need now is a McLaughlin New York poll showing Trump into the margin of error. Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: psychprofessor on October 25, 2016, 10:19:37 AM Is this Emerson's half brother pollster lol
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 25, 2016, 10:25:41 AM LOL.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Maxwell on October 25, 2016, 12:07:13 PM Isn't this one of Ted Cruz's old guys polling company? I think it was Jeff Roe's company.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: HagridOfTheDeep on October 25, 2016, 12:21:14 PM Sh-t polls, but I think it's time for Team Hillary to start thinking about that next big oppo hit. There's enough evidence to suggest that things are slowly trickling back in Trump's direction. If we don't get anything soon, I'm inclined to believe there's nothing left. Which is too bad, because they should have known there'd be two weeks at the end of the campaign with no built-in attention-grabbing events to prevent the campaign from starting to naturally feel stale. And boringness helps Trump.
Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Maxwell on October 25, 2016, 12:21:58 PM Sh-t polls, but I think it's time for Team Hillary to start thinking about that next big oppo hit. There's enough evidence to suggest that things are slowly trickling back in Trump's direction. If we don't get anything soon, I'm inclined to believe there's nothing left. Which is too bad, because they should have known there'd be two weeks at the end of the campaign with no built-in attention-grabbing events to prevent the campaign from starting to naturally feel stale. And boringness helps Trump. I don't agree that there's that much evidence of that. There's a lot of new trash polls mucking up averages. Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: IceSpear on October 25, 2016, 01:16:26 PM Sh-t polls, but I think it's time for Team Hillary to start thinking about that next big oppo hit. There's enough evidence to suggest that things are slowly trickling back in Trump's direction. If we don't get anything soon, I'm inclined to believe there's nothing left. Which is too bad, because they should have known there'd be two weeks at the end of the campaign with no built-in attention-grabbing events to prevent the campaign from starting to naturally feel stale. And boringness helps Trump. Yeah, just look at this Trump surge in the making: () Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: HagridOfTheDeep on October 25, 2016, 01:25:33 PM ^ The same could have been said at pretty much every point in the race when Trump did actually begin to surge (though I would characterize these periods as Hillary slowly collapsing, not Trump surging). Plus, these periods have been dominated by characteristics similar to what we're seeing now. Namely, a certain kind of quiet from Trump and a pause or staleness in the overarching narrative of the election. It gives reporters a chance to dig into Hillary bullsh-t, and slowly everyone chips away at her numbers.
Trump has enough evidence now to know that he might as well avoid serious controversy, and there's not really anything on the horizon that could shake up the race. The gravity of Hillary's poll numbers will just naturally start to bring her back down to earth unless they're deliberately held up by a new narrative. I want to stress that it's not major enough for her to actually lose, but +5 isn't exactly fantastic when we know she has the potential to do so much better in this match-up. And if they are sitting on a big oppo hit, let's get it out there in the next half a week. Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 25, 2016, 01:31:53 PM ^ The same could have been said at pretty much every point in the race when Trump did actually begin to surge (though I would characterize these periods as Hillary slowly collapsing, not Trump surging). Plus, these periods have been dominated by characteristics similar to what we're seeing now. Namely, a certain kind of quiet from Trump and a pause or staleness in the overarching narrative of the election. It gives reporters a chance to dig into Hillary bullsh-t, and slowly everyone chips away at her numbers. Trump has enough evidence now to know that he might as well avoid serious controversy, and there's not really anything on the horizon that could shake up the race. The gravity of Hillary's poll numbers will just naturally start to bring her back down to earth unless they're deliberately held up by a new narrative. I want to stress that it's not major enough for her to actually lose, but +5 isn't exactly fantastic when we know she has the potential to do so much better in this match-up. And if they are sitting on a big oppo hit, let's get it out there in the next half a week. I agree with this entirely. I really, really hope they have one last hit coming. Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: IceSpear on October 25, 2016, 01:44:28 PM ^ The same could have been said at pretty much every point in the race when Trump did actually begin to surge (though I would characterize these periods as Hillary slowly collapsing, not Trump surging). Plus, these periods have been dominated by characteristics similar to what we're seeing now. Namely, a certain kind of quiet from Trump and a pause or staleness in the overarching narrative of the election. It gives reporters a chance to dig into Hillary bullsh-t, and slowly everyone chips away at her numbers. Trump has enough evidence now to know that he might as well avoid serious controversy, and there's not really anything on the horizon that could shake up the race. The gravity of Hillary's poll numbers will just naturally start to bring her back down to earth unless they're deliberately held up by a new narrative. I want to stress that it's not major enough for her to actually lose, but +5 isn't exactly fantastic when we know she has the potential to do so much better in this match-up. And if they are sitting on a big oppo hit, let's get it out there in the next half a week. Eh, I don't really agree that she can do "so much better" than a 5 point win. I think her ceiling is a 7-8 point win. 45% of the country would vote for Satan (R) over Jesus (D). I just don't get why you think there's evidence of a Trump resurgence. HuffPost has it flat, she has her biggest lead ever on RCP's map that includes toss ups, Trump has collapsed in Texas recently, and aside from this GOP pollster she's consistently led in FL/NC. Even the junky daily trackers which were Trump's bulwark now show Hillary ahead. Title: Re: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO Post by: Senator-elect Spark on October 25, 2016, 02:18:00 PM http://20an0w2e66jla4rfm1idisr1.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/ABC_Project_Timeline.pdf https://twitter.com/jeffroe/status/790900744278806528 http://axiomstrategies.com/abc/ "Remington Research Group is a polling firm that specializes in automated IVR technology." Colorado Clinton 45 Trump 43 Florida Clinton 46 Trump 46 Nevada Clinton 44 Trump 47 North Carolina Clinton 44 Trump 47 Ohio Clinton 42 Trump 46 Pennsylvania Clinton 45 Trump 42 Virginia Clinton 48 Trump 43 Wisconsin Clinton 46 Trump 41 Close. Title: NC: Remington Research Group: Trump with Slight Lead in North Carolina Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 27, 2016, 06:14:19 PM New Poll: North Carolina President by Remington Research Group on 2016-10-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3720161022257)
Summary: D: 44%, R: 47%, U: 5% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Remington_NC_Oct_25th_2016.pdf) Title: FL: Remington Research Group: Race for President Tied in Florida Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 27, 2016, 06:18:02 PM New Poll: Florida President by Remington Research Group on 2016-10-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1220161022257)
Summary: D: 46%, R: 46%, U: 5% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Remington_FL_Oct_25th_2016.pdf) Title: NV: Remington Research Group: Trump with Slight Lead in Nevada Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 27, 2016, 06:19:35 PM New Poll: Nevada President by Remington Research Group on 2016-10-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3220161022257)
Summary: D: 44%, R: 47%, U: 3% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Remington_NV_Oct_25th_2016.pdf) Title: CO: Remington Research Group: Clinton with Slight Lead in Colorado Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 27, 2016, 06:21:24 PM New Poll: Colorado President by Remington Research Group on 2016-10-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=820161022257)
Summary: D: 45%, R: 43%, U: 4% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Remington_CO_Oct_25th_2016.pdf) Title: OH: Remington Research Group: Trump with Slight Lead in Ohio Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 27, 2016, 06:22:37 PM New Poll: Ohio President by Remington Research Group on 2016-10-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3920161022257)
Summary: D: 42%, R: 46%, U: 6% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Remington_OH_Oct_25th_2016.pdf) Title: PA: Remington Research Group: Clinton with Slight Lead in Pennsylvania Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 27, 2016, 06:23:43 PM New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Remington Research Group on 2016-10-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=4220161022257)
Summary: D: 45%, R: 42%, U: 7% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Remington_PA_Oct_25th_2016.pdf) Title: VA: Remington Research Group: Clinton with Lead in Virginia Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 27, 2016, 06:24:55 PM New Poll: Virginia President by Remington Research Group on 2016-10-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=5120161022257)
Summary: D: 48%, R: 43%, U: 5% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Remington_VA_Oct_25th_2016.pdf) Title: WI: Remington Research Group: Clinton with Lead in Wisconsin Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 27, 2016, 06:25:57 PM New Poll: Wisconsin President by Remington Research Group on 2016-10-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=5520161022257)
Summary: D: 46%, R: 41%, U: 6% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Remington_WI_Oct_25th_2016.pdf) |