Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: BoAtlantis on October 24, 2016, 07:32:07 PM



Title: MI-Fox Mitchell: Clinton +8
Post by: BoAtlantis on October 24, 2016, 07:32:07 PM
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/FOX_2_Detroit-Mitchell_Poll_of_MI_Press_Clinton_v_Trump_10-24-16.pdf

(Clinton 49% - Trump 41%- Johnson 3% - Stein 1%)


Title: Re: MI-Fox Mitchell: Clinton +8
Post by: No War, but the War on Christmas on October 24, 2016, 07:38:32 PM
I want to get off #MadamePresident's wild ride, I can't take all this winning.

Quote
Trump in Billings, Montana, May 26, 2016: “They’re letting people go in Michigan. And by the way, I’m going to win Michigan, and normally a Republican would not go to campaign there, and I’m going to win, just like I did in the primaries. I’m going to win Michigan by a lot.”


Title: MI: Mitchell Research: Clinton Leading in Michigan
Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 24, 2016, 08:04:20 PM
New Poll: Michigan President by Mitchell Research on 2016-10-23 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2620161023226)

Summary: D: 49%, R: 41%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/FOX_2_Detroit-Mitchell_Poll_of_MI_Press_Clinton_v_Trump_10-24-16.pdf)


Title: Re: MI-Fox Mitchell: Clinton +8
Post by: NOVA Green on October 24, 2016, 08:07:52 PM
If my understanding is correct when they say that Trump is leading narrowly in the "Tri County Area", presumably Wayne, Macomb, and Oakland, while still leading +8 in Michigan these folks have much stronger strains of herb than are currently available in the West Coast and Colorado....

Assuming this is a huge MOE and sample size issue, but I can't fathom Clinton losing Metro Detroit, while winning by +8 statewide.

I suspect Michigan is more like a +10-12 C at this point in the race....


Title: Re: MI-Fox Mitchell: Clinton +8
Post by: Gass3268 on October 24, 2016, 08:15:20 PM
If my understanding is correct when they say that Trump is leading narrowly in the "Tri County Area", presumably Wayne, Macomb, and Oakland, while still leading +8 in Michigan these folks have much stronger strains of herb than are currently available in the West Coast and Colorado....

Assuming this is a huge MOE and sample size issue, but I can't fathom Clinton losing Metro Detroit, while winning by +8 statewide.

I suspect Michigan is more like a +10-12 C at this point in the race....

Tri Counties are Bay, Midland, and Saginaw.


Title: Re: MI-Fox Mitchell: Clinton +8
Post by: Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist on October 24, 2016, 08:21:11 PM
If my understanding is correct when they say that Trump is leading narrowly in the "Tri County Area", presumably Wayne, Macomb, and Oakland, while still leading +8 in Michigan these folks have much stronger strains of herb than are currently available in the West Coast and Colorado....

Assuming this is a huge MOE and sample size issue, but I can't fathom Clinton losing Metro Detroit, while winning by +8 statewide.

I suspect Michigan is more like a +10-12 C at this point in the race....

I'm thinking tri-county may mean those three counties while specifically excluding the city of Detroit. Though those numbers still seem odd.


Title: Re: MI-Fox Mitchell: Clinton +8
Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 24, 2016, 10:06:39 PM
Strange that 538 did not enter this poll into their database.
Does anyone know why ?
Is there some technical reason why they are excluding it ?