Title: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Speed of Sound on October 20, 2016, 07:40:25 PM
818 LVs surveyed from Oct 12-18:
Trump 30 (-4)
McMullin 29 (+17)
Clinton 25 (±0)
Johnson 5 (-8)
Hat-tip to Sorenroy for the change info.
http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/11183-trump-leads-mcmullin-by-one-point-among-likely-utah-voters
Trump 30 (-4)
McMullin 29 (+17)
Clinton 25 (±0)
Johnson 5 (-8)
Hat-tip to Sorenroy for the change info.
http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/11183-trump-leads-mcmullin-by-one-point-among-likely-utah-voters
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Gass3268 on October 20, 2016, 07:41:41 PM
The Rise of the Once and Future McMuffin!
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Speed of Sound on October 20, 2016, 07:43:22 PM
GOP voters split 48/37 Trump v McMullin. McMullin leads "very active" LDS members 43/31. Trump leads among "somewhat active" members 37/22. The "very conservative" paradoxically favor Trump 51/39.
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: dspNY on October 20, 2016, 07:44:04 PM
McMullin-mentum!
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: ApatheticAustrian on October 20, 2016, 07:49:48 PM
if the democrats play this intelligent.....
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: BoAtlantis on October 20, 2016, 07:50:23 PM
Muffin is rising fast......wow
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: dspNY on October 20, 2016, 07:50:48 PM
if the democrats play this intelligent.....
Strategically vote for McMullin or stick with Clinton and try to win a three-way race in the low 30s?
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: calvinhobbesliker on October 20, 2016, 07:51:08 PM
Just one high profile endorsement from a Utah official and this state is McMullin's.
Why hasn't Romney endorsed yet? That would instantly give McMullin Utah and maybe Idaho.
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Person Man on October 20, 2016, 07:55:30 PM
Mmmmmm McMuffin...
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: NOVA Green on October 20, 2016, 07:55:58 PM
I actually bought two egg McMuffins this morning for the first time in over a year, both because I was on the road and hungry, and secondarily because reading all of the Utah polling threads over the past week or so, made me really want to eat one again, although I rarely consume junk food anymore.
Regardless, it some seem like McMullin is trending in UT over the past two weeks, and the Big Mo appears to be on his side to carry the state.
Regardless, it some seem like McMullin is trending in UT over the past two weeks, and the Big Mo appears to be on his side to carry the state.
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Skye on October 20, 2016, 08:03:29 PM
I actually don't want McMuffin to win Utah so the map doesn't look ugly.
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 20, 2016, 08:05:33 PM
I actually don't want McMuffin to win Utah so the map doesn't look ugly.
I think this looks great!
(
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Sorenroy on October 20, 2016, 08:11:17 PM
Change from Last Month:
Trump — 30 (-4)
McMullin — 29 (+17)
Clinton — 25 (±0)
Johnson — 5 (-8)
Other — 7 (-2)
Trump — 30 (-4)
McMullin — 29 (+17)
Clinton — 25 (±0)
Johnson — 5 (-8)
Other — 7 (-2)
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 20, 2016, 08:18:17 PM
This is amazing. McMuffin might actually win here.
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 20, 2016, 08:26:22 PM
I actually don't want McMuffin to win Utah so the map doesn't look ugly.
I think this looks great!
(
Though this looks even BETTER! :)
(
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Vosem on October 20, 2016, 08:29:43 PM
I actually don't want McMuffin to win Utah so the map doesn't look ugly.
I think this looks great!
(
Though this looks even BETTER! :)
(
Wouldn't you, Lief, prefer this map? I think it's a bit likelier than you gave, unfortunately.
(
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: The Other Castro on October 20, 2016, 08:50:45 PM
I prefer this map:
(
)
(
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Fargobison on October 20, 2016, 08:56:04 PM
Only a rigged CBS poll can show Donnie with a sizable lead here. Sad!
Title: UT: Dan Jones: Utah: McMullin Surging, Trump + 1
Post by: Flake on October 20, 2016, 09:04:52 PM
New Poll: Utah President by Dan Jones on 2016-10-18 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=4920161018005)
Summary: D: 25%, R: 30%, U: 4%
Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/11183-trump-leads-mcmullin-by-one-point-among-likely-utah-voters)
Summary: D: 25%, R: 30%, U: 4%
Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/11183-trump-leads-mcmullin-by-one-point-among-likely-utah-voters)
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: ag on October 20, 2016, 09:16:16 PM
I guess, it is time to acknowledge the obvious. Mormons are a lost tribe of Israel. They are Jewish. I do not know how they got to upstate New York, but that they are now in Utah is for all of us to see :)
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: DavidB. on October 20, 2016, 09:23:17 PM
()
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: ag on October 20, 2016, 09:24:43 PM
Interesting juxtaposition of our comments in thsi thread.
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 20, 2016, 09:29:02 PM
I actually don't want McMuffin to win Utah so the map doesn't look ugly.
I think this looks great!
(
That would be an awesome map !
Go McMullin.
8-)
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Speed of Sound on October 20, 2016, 09:49:48 PM
Averaging the last 3 polls done by different pollsters in the state (Emerson, DJ, Rassy):
McMullin: 29.6
Trump: 29
Clinton: 25.6
Johnson: 5
McMullin: 29.6
Trump: 29
Clinton: 25.6
Johnson: 5
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Likely Voter on October 20, 2016, 09:59:30 PM
I wonder what the GOTV efforts are for UT. It seems that all the major political figures in the state are now anti-Trump. Do they put their political machines behind McMullin? How much of a GOTV effort does the RNC have independent of them? Do they have resources to help Trump? Does he have anything. And do the Dems put any resources into the state for their GOTV?
It seems to me that the Gov and Romney and other state leaders could just put their thumb on the scale and push it to McMullin to send a message to the GOP...Don't mess with Utah.
It seems to me that the Gov and Romney and other state leaders could just put their thumb on the scale and push it to McMullin to send a message to the GOP...Don't mess with Utah.
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: DavidB. on October 20, 2016, 10:17:05 PM
Interesting juxtaposition of our comments in thsi thread.
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: ag on October 20, 2016, 10:42:29 PM
Interesting juxtaposition of our comments in thsi thread.
But, remarkably, you will be as happy when Muffin wins Utah as Mitt Romney. There still may be something Jewish in you :)
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Vosem on October 20, 2016, 10:43:55 PM
I guess, it is time to acknowledge the obvious. Mormons are a lost tribe of Israel. They are Jewish. I do not know how they got to upstate New York, but that they are now in Utah is for all of us to see :)
Now this definition I can get behind :)
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: ag on October 20, 2016, 11:03:44 PM
I guess, it is time to acknowledge the obvious. Mormons are a lost tribe of Israel. They are Jewish. I do not know how they got to upstate New York, but that they are now in Utah is for all of us to see :)
Now this definition I can get behind :)
:)
It is remarkable, how we all sense it in this case. I used to know that Mormons have created their own ethnic identity. Now I feel it.
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: #TheShadowyAbyss on October 21, 2016, 12:24:03 AM
It seems like Utahns are rapidly fleeing Johnson and going to McMullin's camp.
Makes me wonder...how long will it take to call Utah for Clinton, Trump or McMullin on E-Day?
Makes me wonder...how long will it take to call Utah for Clinton, Trump or McMullin on E-Day?
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Flake on October 21, 2016, 12:28:12 AM
It seems like Utahns are rapidly fleeing Johnson and going to McMullin's camp.
Makes me wonder...how long will it take to call Utah for Clinton, Trump or McMullin on E-Day?
Makes me wonder...how long will it take to call Utah for Clinton, Trump or McMullin on E-Day?
Insta-call for Egg McMuffin. Neither Clinton or Trump have any ground game and McMullin is surging. Now I want to see what's going to happen in Idaho because that might take a while to call on election night (which is something I never thought I'd have to say).
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Phony Moderate on October 21, 2016, 05:11:18 AM
McMuffin winning would be a funny result and the most worthy thing that the Mormons have ever done.
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Hatman 🍁 on October 21, 2016, 08:45:48 AM
BEAUTIFUL! Thank you, Utah!
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: Zioneer on October 22, 2016, 01:22:11 AM
If any of you guys know anyone from Utah, you should encourage them to vote for McMullin, if they're not a hardcore Trump partisan. I really want to see the reactions after Nov 8.
Title: Re: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)
Post by: #TheShadowyAbyss on October 22, 2016, 02:19:41 AM
If any of you guys know anyone from Utah, you should encourage them to vote for McMullin, if they're not a hardcore Trump partisan. I really want to see the reactions after Nov 8.
I have a friend in SLC, she wants McMullin to win the state, but she is an ardent Hillary Clinton voter this go around (even though she caucused for Bernie)