Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: MT Treasurer on October 19, 2016, 05:00:31 PM



Title: NC-Civitas: Burr +7
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 19, 2016, 05:00:31 PM
Richard Burr (R, inc.) - 44% (+/-0)
Deborah Ross (D) - 37% (-2)

https://www.carolinajournal.com/alert/new-civitas-poll-burr-up-a-lot-clinton-mccrory-up-a-little/


Title: Re: NC-Civitas: Burr +7
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 19, 2016, 05:01:43 PM
WHAT


Title: Re: NC-Civitas: Burr +7
Post by: heatcharger on October 19, 2016, 05:03:28 PM
lol Civitas


Title: Re: NC-Civitas: Burr +7
Post by: Gass3268 on October 19, 2016, 05:08:37 PM

Pretty much


Title: Re: NC-Civitas: Burr +7
Post by: Blackacre on October 19, 2016, 05:12:20 PM

why? do they have a bad track record?


Title: Re: NC-Civitas: Burr +7
Post by: DavidB. on October 19, 2016, 05:39:03 PM
Outlier, and probably junk too, but this race does seem to be going in the Republican direction (but remains a tossup). Perhaps a combination of the "voters want a check on Hillary" explanation + GOP office burning + Burr's attack ads + impact of riots in Charlotte?

Can only find one other Civitas poll this cycle, by the way, in May. They had Burr at 37 and Ross at 35. The thread on that poll featured this LOL comment which I didn't want to keep from you:

OH & FL will flip but I don't see Burr losing before Portman.


Title: NC: Civitas Institute: Burr Leading in North Carolina
Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 19, 2016, 07:23:14 PM
New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Civitas Institute on 2016-10-17 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=37320161017124)

Summary: D: 37%, R: 45%, I: 5%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/CivitasOctoberPoll_release.pdf)


Title: Re: NC-Civitas: Burr +7
Post by: morgieb on October 19, 2016, 07:34:28 PM
Worth noting McCrory leads by 4 in this poll. I'm not buying it.


Title: Re: NC-Civitas: Burr +7
Post by: Ebsy on October 19, 2016, 07:46:05 PM
Civitas is not a very good pollster.


Title: Re: NC-Civitas: Burr +7
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 19, 2016, 10:22:42 PM
I guess this will cancel out the Surveymonkey one showing Ross+7, so fair enough.


Title: Re: NC-Civitas: Burr +7
Post by: Mr. Smith on October 21, 2016, 03:14:28 PM
Does this mean Ross is the Ed Gillespie of this cycle?  Or will Burr's numbers be like Hagan's and simply never increase while Ross go up and up?